Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:03:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2E
0x2efb…c471
crypto · 313 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$86 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$62 · open −$24
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$62
Unrealized−$24
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses221 / 86
Open positions6
Markets (closed)307 / 313
History coverage5d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day105.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 6 History 307 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$56
7 days−$62
14 days−$62
30 days−$62
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 71¢ 28¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-60%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 61¢ 24¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-60%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 61¢ 20¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-66%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +47%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -26%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -46%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +32%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +54%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$90
other 1% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 12m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 12m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $3 13m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 13m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 15m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $0 16m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 16m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 17m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $4 19m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $5 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 22m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 22m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 24m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 27m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $6 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 83¢ $6 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $7 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $6 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $6 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 32m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 307 -3.4% -12.6% 72% 53% -13.2%
≤30d 307 -3.4% -12.6% 72% 53% -13.2%
≤90d 307 -3.4% -12.6% 72% 53% -13.2%
all 307 -3.4% -12.6% 72% 53% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover105.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.6% 53% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here -20.9% 36% -21.5%
15% -28.6% 21% -29.1%
20% -35.6% 13% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.64 · official $14.99 · 704 history records