Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:39:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2E
0x2eff…5acb
crypto · 1210 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,441 -51%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,441 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,441
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses899 / 636
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1535 / 1210
History coverage3d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day803.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 0 History 1535 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,599
7 days−$2,441
14 days−$2,441
30 days−$2,441
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% +$484
other 11% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 5m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 29m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 50m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-26.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1535 -18.7% -26.4% 59% 39% -39.9%
≤30d 1535 -18.7% -26.4% 59% 39% -39.9%
≤90d 1535 -18.7% -26.4% 59% 39% -39.9%
all 1535 -18.7% -26.4% 59% 39% -39.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover803.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.4% 39% -39.9%
10% ← realistic here -33.5% 25% -45.7%
15% -39.9% 17% -50.9%
20% -45.8% 11% -55.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records