trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -44.9% | -50.1% | 29% | 29% | -36.2% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -44.9% | -50.1% | 29% | 29% | -36.2% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -44.9% | -50.1% | 29% | 29% | -36.2% |
| all | 23 | -58.0% | -62.0% | 22% | 17% | -52.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -62.0% | 17% | -52.5% |
| 10% | -65.7% | 9% | -57.0% |
| 15% | -69.0% | 9% | -61.2% |
| 20% | -72.0% | 9% | -65.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 18¢ | $500 | $573 | +$73 (+15%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 14¢ | $471 | $392 | −$78 (-17%) |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs | 9z | 27¢ | 66¢ | $15 | $36 | +$22 (+144%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $28 | −$27 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $73 | −$46 | -62% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $99 | −$26 | -26% |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 14 | $22 | −$22 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $13 | +$8 | +63% |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 13 | $110 | +$13 | +12% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Dominican Republic make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final? | Mar 15 | $52 | −$52 | -100% |
| Final Stage: Italy vs. Puerto Rico | Mar 15 | $25 | +$23 | +92% |
| Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuela | Mar 15 | $30 | −$26 | -87% |
| Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USA | Mar 14 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs | Feb 20 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game? | Feb 09 | $110 | −$49 | -45% |
| Will "DtMF" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show? | Feb 09 | $35 | −$35 | -100% |
| Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Feb 09 | $204 | −$104 | -51% |
| Will "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | Feb 07 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime sho | Feb 07 | $184 | −$184 | -100% |
| Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | Feb 03 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | Feb 03 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will "BAILE INOLVIDABLE" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime sh | Feb 03 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Super Bowl LX have between 128M and 132M viewers? | Feb 03 | $21 | +$4 | +20% |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Jan 30 | $325 | +$20 | +6% |
| Will Kanye release BULLY by January 30? | Jan 28 | $50 | −$28 | -57% |