Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:06:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2F
0x2f19…6075
crypto · 445 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$20 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$132 · open +$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$21
Realized−$132
Unrealized+$7
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses227 / 217
Open positions1
Markets (closed)444 / 445
History coverage80d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day28.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 444 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$82
7 days+$82
14 days+$74
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 68¢ 100¢ $14 $21 +$7 (+47%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$5 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $22 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$9 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$10 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$8 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $23 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$5 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$6 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$3 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$7 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$6 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $29 +$16 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$11 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $19 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$8 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $18 +$8 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$3 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $18 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $11 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $13 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $23 +$7 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $18 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$11 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$12 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $34 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$5 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$126
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 24m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-17.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 77 +6.3% -3.8% 68% 51% -2.7%
≤30d 144 -11.2% -19.7% 51% 39% -9.5%
≤90d 444 -9.2% -17.8% 51% 33% -11.3%
all 444 -9.2% -17.8% 51% 33% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.8% 33% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -25.7% 20% -19.8%
15% -32.9% 15% -27.5%
20% -39.5% 10% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.61 · official $12.74 · 2642 history records