trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -33.1% | -39.5% | 20% | 20% | -34.8% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -33.1% | -39.5% | 20% | 20% | -34.8% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +18.8% | +7.5% | 45% | 45% | -3.5% |
| all | 14 | +26.1% | +14.1% | 57% | 50% | +3.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +14.1% | 50% | +3.0% |
| 10% | +3.2% | 50% | -6.9% |
| 15% | -6.8% | 43% | -15.9% |
| 20% | -16.0% | 36% | -24.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 16 | $399 | +$174 | +44% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | Jun 16 | $290 | −$290 | -100% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Jun 15 | $212 | −$153 | -72% |
| Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | Jun 15 | $100 | −$23 | -23% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 15 | $95 | −$13 | -14% |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? | May 12 | $284 | +$499 | +176% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | May 04 | $378 | −$378 | -100% |
| Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026? | Apr 06 | $78 | +$140 | +179% |
| Will Trump say "Paid a big price" or "Paying a big price" this week? ( | Apr 02 | $59 | −$59 | -100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Apr 02 | $59 | +$86 | +148% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | Mar 26 | $235 | +$162 | +69% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026? | Mar 02 | $104 | +$132 | +127% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025? | Jan 02 | $70 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 02 | $285 | +$87 | +30% |