trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 5 | +38.4% | +25.3% | 80% | 80% | -11.4% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -22.7% | -30.1% | 44% | 44% | -16.7% |
| all | 165 | -16.3% | -24.3% | 50% | 48% | -9.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -24.3% | 48% | -9.9% |
| 10% | -31.6% | 46% | -18.5% |
| 15% | -38.2% | 38% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -44.2% | 29% | -33.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 27¢ | $722 | $1,167 | +$445 (+62%) |
| Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 62¢ | 62¢ | $243 | $241 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $334 | +$146 | +44% |
| Spread: Knicks (-3.5) | Jun 11 | $200 | +$134 | +67% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $95 | +$104 | +109% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 02 | $499 | −$494 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $116 | +$84 | +72% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $244 | +$171 | +70% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 29 | $148 | +$96 | +65% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 20 | $51 | +$56 | +109% |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) | May 20 | $106 | −$105 | -99% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 19 | $199 | −$195 | -98% |
| Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship? | May 17 | $82 | −$80 | -98% |
| Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 10 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 10 | $50 | −$46 | -92% |
| Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 10 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 07 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 07 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 15 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers | Feb 27 | $25 | +$12 | +49% |
| Will Meteora be accused of insider trading? | Feb 24 | $35 | +$4 | +11% |
| Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading? | Feb 23 | $25 | −$17 | -68% |
| Kings vs. Grizzlies | Feb 23 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Spurs | Feb 23 | $25 | +$12 | +49% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | Feb 16 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | Feb 16 | $10 | +$4 | +43% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | Feb 16 | $10 | +$5 | +52% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14? | Feb 13 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies | Feb 13 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Steelers vs. Chargers | Feb 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Bills vs. Broncos | Feb 13 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |
| Texans vs. Chiefs | Feb 13 | $200 | −$151 | -76% |
| Eagles vs. Chargers | Feb 13 | $244 | −$244 | -100% |
| Chiefs vs. Cowboys | Feb 13 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Commanders vs. Giants | Feb 13 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Commanders vs. Vikings | Feb 13 | $90 | −$68 | -76% |
| Steelers vs. Ravens | Feb 13 | $155 | −$155 | -100% |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Feb 09 | $250 | +$112 | +45% |
| Cooper Kupp: Anytime Touchdown | Feb 08 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Rams vs. Seahawks | Feb 08 | $151 | +$119 | +79% |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | Jan 25 | $100 | +$51 | +51% |
| Spread: Indiana (-7.5) | Jan 20 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Texans vs. Patriots | Jan 20 | $96 | +$54 | +56% |
| Jake Tonges: Receiving Yards O/U 35.5 | Jan 18 | $50 | +$44 | +87% |
| First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | Jan 17 | $232 | −$161 | -69% |
| Lakers vs. 76ers | Dec 14 | $25 | +$17 | +67% |
| Thunder vs. Jazz | Dec 14 | $50 | +$14 | +28% |
| Jalen Hurts: 2+ Touchdowns | Dec 09 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Titans vs. Browns: O/U 33.5 | Dec 08 | $25 | +$26 | +104% |
| Saints vs. Buccaneers: O/U 41.5 | Dec 08 | $25 | +$26 | +104% |
| Seahawks vs. Falcons | Dec 08 | $50 | +$18 | +35% |
| Colts vs. Jaguars | Dec 08 | $75 | +$55 | +74% |