Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:28:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2F
0x2f32…ada6
crypto · 145 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$93 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$93 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$93
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses135 / 10
Whale WR (big bets)93%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)145 / 145
History coverage1d
Avg bet$222
Trades / day2884.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 145 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$93
7 days+$93
14 days+$93
30 days+$93
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $145 $0 −$145 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $197 $0 −$197 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $185 $0 −$185 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $145 +$11 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $125 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $154 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $65 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $124 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $142 +$10 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $142 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $53 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $115 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $94 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $147 +$9 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $121 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $56 +$42 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $53 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $71 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $36 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $53 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $143 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $142 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $89 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $137 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $36 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $42 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $68 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $76 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $156 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $53 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $155 +$39 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $48 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $188 +$46 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $143 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $152 +$6 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $129 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $118 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $53 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $191 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $97 −$13 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $214 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $143 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $69 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $290 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $187 −$185 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $158 +$4 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$93
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $11 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $11 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $12 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $12 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $12 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $12 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $11 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $22 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 145 +0.2% -9.4% 93% 5% -9.3%
≤30d 145 +0.2% -9.4% 93% 5% -9.3%
≤90d 145 +0.2% -9.4% 93% 5% -9.3%
all 145 +0.2% -9.4% 93% 5% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2884.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 5% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 3% -17.9%
15% -26.0% 2% -25.9%
20% -33.2% 1% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records