trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 40% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 40% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 40% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 20 | +5.1% | -4.9% | 55% | 10% | -8.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.9% | 10% | -8.6% |
| 10% | -14.0% | 5% | -17.4% |
| 15% | -22.3% | 5% | -25.3% |
| 20% | -29.9% | 5% | -32.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 47¢ | 46¢ | $33 | $33 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 17 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 14 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $36 | $0 | -0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 13 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 12 | $33 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon tweet 100–114 times June 20–27? | Jun 27 | $2 | $0 | +16% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 12 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2025 French Open? | Jun 08 | $8 | $0 | +3% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31? | Jun 01 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Quebec in the next C | May 05 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Mark Carney lose his seat? | Apr 30 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government? | Apr 28 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 28 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Liberal Party win by 125–149 seats? | Apr 27 | $9 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Browns draft Abdul Carter? | Apr 27 | $8 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romani | Apr 20 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Ethereum all time high by June 30? | Apr 19 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Solana reach $170 in April? | Apr 17 | $2 | +$2 | +71% |
| US lifts Russia sanctions before April? | Mar 28 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel military action against Iran in March? | Mar 28 | $13 | $0 | -0% |