Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:40:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2F
0x2f4b…69de
sports · 1707 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$9,728 -40%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9,718 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$23
Realized−$9,718
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses706 / 1071
Est. fees paid−$454
Open positions6
Markets (closed)1777 / 1707
History coverage65d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day48.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 6 History 1777 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9,205
7 days−$9,094
14 days−$9,078
30 days−$8,628
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner XLG Gaming 22¢ 48¢ $5 $11 +$6 (+120%)
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 24¢ 21¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-11%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 30¢ 16¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-45%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner XLG Gaming 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner PARIVISION 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner 3DMAX 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 26¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 65¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winner Fnatic 61¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 33 vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffs EYEBALLERS 93¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner Deep Cross Gaming 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 Winner FULL SENSE 63¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Voca 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs T1 - Map 1 Winner DetonatioN FocusMe 43¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 38¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winner MVK Esports 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 - Map 1 Winner G2 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs Team Liquid 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage FOKUS 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner Astralis 18¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Global Esports - Map 1 Winner Rex Regum Qeon 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Cloud9 63¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner Aurora Gaming 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Valorant: TYLOO vs All Gamers - Map 2 Winner All Gamers 36¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $200 −$200 -100%
Counter-Strike: 33 vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group St Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Jun 13 $1 −$3 -299%
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$20 -142%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Valorant: T1 Academy vs DRX Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Falcons Force (BO3) - Exort Series Ma Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Dota 2: REKONIX vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$10 +198%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: P11 Esports vs Axolotl (BO5) - LIT Playoffs Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $20 +$2 +8%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage Jun 13 $19 −$33 -176%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs K27 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DRX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage Jun 13 $46 −$49 -105%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Leviatan Esports - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $136 −$136 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group O Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$343
crypto 0% +$1
other 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL PARIVISION 48¢ $5 26m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 24¢ $6 29m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY XLG Gaming 22¢ $5 47m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 39¢ $10 59m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 30¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 18¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 85¢ $12 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner BUY XLG Gaming 33¢ $5 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 Esports 67¢ $9 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 15¢ $1 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 Esports 71¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 47¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 69¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL PARIVISION 20¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 37¢ $10 2h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL EDward Gaming 39¢ $4 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 24¢ $5 3h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 13¢ $3 3h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL EDward Gaming 12¢ $3 3h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 15¢ $4 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 51¢ $5 3h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 45¢ $5 3h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 11¢ $2 4h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 31¢ $5 4h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner SELL EDward Gaming 39¢ $9 4h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 45¢ $10 4h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL G2 42¢ $4 4h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 27¢ $6 5h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 47¢ $5 5h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 15¢ $2 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-23.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 318 -56.1% -60.3% 19% 17% -89.2%
≤30d 850 -16.1% -24.1% 38% 35% -59.6%
≤90d 1777 -15.0% -23.1% 40% 36% -36.5%
all 1777 -15.0% -23.1% 40% 36% -36.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.1% 36% -36.5%
10% ← realistic here -30.5% 32% -42.6%
15% -37.2% 28% -48.1%
20% -43.4% 23% -53.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22.65 · official $22.65 (match) · 3500 history records