Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:23:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2F
0x2f54…252c
crypto · 1242 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$634 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$634 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$634
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses897 / 345
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1242 / 1242
History coverage28d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day85.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1242 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$34
7 days−$60
14 days−$499
30 days−$634
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$39 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$17 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $39 −$38 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$6 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$25 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$13 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$22 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$5 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$7 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$5 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$8 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$14 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$19 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$8 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $23 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$82 +388%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$7 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$10 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $58 +$7 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $76 −$74 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$13 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$9 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$7 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$5 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$8 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$9 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +54%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$634
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $17 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $21 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $21 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $20 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $16 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $7 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $9 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $20 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $12 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $20 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $21 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $15 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $20 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $21 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $16 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $19 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 136 +3.7% -6.2% 69% 62% -12.7%
≤30d 1242 -3.5% -12.7% 72% 53% -14.6%
≤90d 1242 -3.5% -12.7% 72% 53% -14.6%
all 1242 -3.5% -12.7% 72% 53% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover85.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.7% 53% -14.6%
10% ← realistic here -21.1% 35% -22.8%
15% -28.7% 21% -30.2%
20% -35.7% 12% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records