Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:29:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2F
0x2f57…3e7a
sports · 1343 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$80 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$187 · open −$44
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$356
Realized+$187
Unrealized−$44
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses815 / 526
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$1,572
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1341 / 1343
History coverage207d
Avg bet$220
Trades / day13.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 1341 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$600
7 days+$452
14 days+$61
30 days+$80
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 81¢ 81¢ $200 $201 +$1 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 83¢ 64¢ $200 $155 −$45 (-23%)
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez Zeynep Sonmez 76¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+32%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A NRG 67¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul Tommy Paul 73¢ 0¢ $83 $0 −$83 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 57¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Mertens (+1.5) Mertens 52¢ 0¢ $119 $0 −$119 (-100%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Polina Kudermetova Priscilla Hon 87¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B FURIA 76¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Wang (-1.5) vs Kudermetova (+1.5) Kudermetova 67¢ 0¢ $153 $0 −$153 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 60¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5) paiN 70¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Dayana Yastremska Dayana Yastremska 60¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs Yawara Esports 65¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04? Yes 63¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs G2 71¢ 0¢ $148 $0 −$148 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 FlyQuest 75¢ 0¢ $115 $0 −$115 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic - Map 1 Winner magic 93¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Cirstea (+1.5) Cirstea 59¢ 0¢ $148 $0 −$148 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Roman Safiullin Roman Safiullin 59¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Anastasia Potapova Coco Gauff 79¢ 0¢ $111 $0 −$111 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Bencic (-1.5) vs McNally (+1.5) McNally 69¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 54¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner B8 62¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $204 +$29 +14%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $151 +$55 +36%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $102 +$51 +50%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $101 +$47 +46%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $181 +$68 +38%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $101 +$72 +71%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $315 +$64 +20%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $151 +$49 +33%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 12 $198 −$79 -40%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $161 +$36 +23%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $261 +$52 +20%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $149 +$111 +74%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $29 −$28 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $254 −$225 -89%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $506 −$253 -50%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,002 −$636 -64%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $101 +$28 +28%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $203 +$184 +91%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $151 +$64 +42%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $202 −$200 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $374 −$193 -52%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 11 $151 −$7 -5%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $101 +$82 +81%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $430 −$94 -22%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $101 −$100 -99%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 11 $30 −$14 -47%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $151 +$37 +24%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $151 −$130 -86%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $151 +$49 +32%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $151 +$60 +40%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $151 +$45 +30%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $201 +$27 +14%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova Jun 11 $101 +$11 +11%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 11 $151 +$45 +30%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $17 −$1 -4%
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 11 $151 +$50 +33%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $121 +$43 +36%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 10 $101 −$30 -30%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 10 $152 +$73 +48%
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 10 $151 +$44 +29%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala Jun 10 $151 +$41 +27%
Libema Open: Lois Boisson vs Solana Sierra Jun 10 $101 +$13 +13%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $101 +$4 +4%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $252 −$32 -13%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 09 $101 −$37 -37%
Set Handicap: Fernandez (-1.5) vs Boulter (+1.5) Jun 09 $111 +$40 +36%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 09 $102 +$65 +64%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Antonia Ruzic Jun 09 $352 +$39 +11%
Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5) Jun 09 $151 −$150 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Marcos Giron Jun 09 $161 +$30 +19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$601
other 1% +$765
crypto 0% −$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 81¢ $201 4m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter SELL Elena Rybakina 81¢ $232 28m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 70¢ $76 53m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 70¢ $128 54m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 83¢ $201 58m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 99¢ $206 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 67¢ $152 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 44¢ $102 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 72¢ $151 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 65¢ $64 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 69¢ $171 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $301 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 99¢ $148 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 67¢ $101 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $248 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 99¢ $174 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 57¢ $101 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 72¢ $181 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 99¢ $379 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 82¢ $315 4h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 99¢ $201 4h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) SELL Legacy 33¢ $114 4h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Legacy 56¢ $198 4h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 74¢ $151 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 100¢ $197 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 81¢ $161 5h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 99¢ $313 5h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 82¢ $261 6h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 99¢ $261 6h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 56¢ $149 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-5.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 82 +31.8% +19.3% 70% 66% -6.4%
≤30d 274 +9.2% -1.2% 65% 59% -9.0%
≤90d 859 -5.2% -14.3% 56% 49% -18.6%
all 1341 +4.2% -5.7% 61% 53% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.7% 53% -9.4%
10% -14.7% 41% -18.1%
15% -23.0% 29% -26.0%
20% -30.5% 18% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $356.42 · official $356.07 (match) · 3017 history records