Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:08:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2F
0x2f5a…7bde
crypto · 2106 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$314 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$315 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$315
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses1365 / 502
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1867 / 2106
History coverage11d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day194.4
Drawdown59%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1867 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$343
7 days−$0
14 days+$315
30 days+$315
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 61¢ 4¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-93%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$767
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +72%
net ROI/market (all)-0.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1281 -0.7% -10.2% 66% 65% -9.5%
≤30d 1867 +10.0% -0.4% 73% 72% +0.8%
≤90d 1867 +10.0% -0.4% 73% 72% +0.8%
all 1867 +10.0% -0.4% 73% 72% +0.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover194.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.4% 72% +0.8%
10% ← realistic here -10.0% 59% -8.9%
15% -18.7% 42% -17.7%
20% -26.6% 27% -25.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.07 · official $0.75 (match) · 3500 history records