Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:45:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2F
0x2f5f…de58
crypto · 241 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$55 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$55 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$55
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses116 / 125
Open positions0
Markets (closed)241 / 241
History coverage8d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day73.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 0 History 241 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$108
7 days−$16
14 days−$55
30 days−$55
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$2 -17%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$18 -76%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$38 +397%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $36 −$16 -44%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$10 -35%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $28 +$4 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$7 -23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $36 +$6 +18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$8 +28%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$2 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $37 −$7 -19%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +28%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$23 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$5 -23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +22%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$8 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $28 +$6 +23%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$12 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$12 +52%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$7 +32%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$17 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$11 -75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +119%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$13 +65%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$4 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$11 +65%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$2 -21%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$3 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$21 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$5 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$23 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% −$70
other 8% +$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 37m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 37m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $9 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 40m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $16 40m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $47 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $50 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 42m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $16 42m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 42m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $0 42m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 42m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 42m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 42m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $7 43m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 43m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 43m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 43m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $4 43m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 43m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $0 43m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 43m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $0 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $6 43m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 44m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 44m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-5.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 183 +10.0% -0.5% 46% 39% -10.1%
≤30d 241 +4.8% -5.2% 48% 43% -11.6%
≤90d 241 +4.8% -5.2% 48% 43% -11.6%
all 241 +4.8% -5.2% 48% 43% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover73.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.2% 43% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -14.2% 34% -20.1%
15% -22.5% 28% -27.8%
20% -30.1% 25% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 686 history records