Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:56:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2F
0x2f73…c2d5
sports · 228 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$132 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$140 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$23
Realized−$140
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses96 / 127
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions5
Markets (closed)223 / 228
History coverage33d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day10.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 5 History 223 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$13
14 days+$3
30 days−$80
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+25%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 22¢ $10 $4 −$6 (-61%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Under 46¢ 52¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+14%)
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5 Under 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-05-16? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5 Under 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 15.5 Yes 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5 Under 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Over 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 Under 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 Under 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Toronto Blue Jays 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Gen.G 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Gwangju FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5 Over 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 Under 56¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Toronto Blue Jays 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Canadiens vs. Sabres Sabres 53¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $5 +$9 +172%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 Jun 14 $5 +$4 +86%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$3 +62%
AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Chicago Wolves Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$6 +109%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$8 +158%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $5 +$7 +140%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Jun 11 $5 +$5 +99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $5 +$5 +103%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Jun 10 $5 +$7 +139%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Jun 10 $3 +$6 +188%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 Jun 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $5 −$5 -98%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5 Jun 08 $3 +$3 +101%
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $5 −$5 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $5 +$5 +101%
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $4 −$4 -98%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5 Jun 04 $3 +$3 +103%
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5 Jun 04 $3 +$3 +89%
OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5 Jun 04 $2 −$2 -99%
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5 Jun 03 $3 −$3 -98%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 Jun 03 $5 +$4 +73%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5 Jun 03 $5 −$5 -98%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 Jun 03 $8 −$8 -98%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 Jun 03 $3 −$3 -98%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5 Jun 02 $3 −$3 -98%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 02 $3 −$3 -98%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 Jun 02 $5 +$3 +60%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) Jun 02 $5 −$5 -98%
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5 Jun 02 $3 −$3 -98%
AHL: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins vs. Toronto Marlies Jun 02 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -94%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5 Jun 01 $3 +$3 +105%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 01 $3 +$3 +86%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5 Jun 01 $3 −$2 -75%
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 01 $3 +$2 +76%
United States vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 Jun 01 $3 +$3 +114%
CD Leganés vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 2.5 May 31 $5 −$5 -99%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles May 31 $3 −$3 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 68% −$99
crypto 25% −$53
other 6% +$6
weather 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $10 52m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 BUY Under 46¢ $3 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 100¢ $14 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 SELL Under 100¢ $9 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 39¢ $4 2h
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 6.5 SELL Yes 1¢ $0 3h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 40¢ $5 4h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 15¢ $1 4h
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 6.5 BUY Yes 44¢ $3 5h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 BUY Under 53¢ $5 5h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $5 6h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 61¢ $5 20h
AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Chicago Wolves SELL Toronto Marlies 99¢ $10 25h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $11 25h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $5 29h
AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Chicago Wolves BUY Toronto Marlies 51¢ $5 29h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 45¢ $3 44h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 52¢ $5 45h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $13 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $5 2d
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5 BUY Under 52¢ $5 2d
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 44¢ $4 2d
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 50¢ $3 2d
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 51¢ $3 2d
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 41¢ $5 2d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 SELL Under 99¢ $10 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 99¢ $10 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 48¢ $5 3d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 BUY Under 49¢ $5 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 BUY Over 48¢ $5 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-25.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 +1.9% -7.8% 46% 46% +0.0%
≤30d 147 -14.2% -22.3% 43% 42% -22.1%
≤90d 223 -17.1% -25.0% 43% 42% -24.0%
all 223 -17.1% -25.0% 43% 42% -24.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -25.0% 42% -24.0%
10% -32.2% 41% -31.3%
15% -38.7% 37% -37.9%
20% -44.7% 34% -44.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $23.40 · official $23.40 (match) · 381 history records