Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:20:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2F
0x2f7c…7a19
sports · 458 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$12,136 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12,030 · open −$142
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$980
Realized−$12,030
Unrealized−$142
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses211 / 254
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$957
Open positions7
Markets (closed)465 / 458
History coverage17d
Avg bet$286
Trades / day186.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit70%
Chart Positions 7 History 465 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10,189
7 days−$4,010
14 days−$11,138
30 days−$12,030
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 95¢ 100¢ $442 $466 +$24 (+5%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 52¢ 62¢ $239 $283 +$44 (+18%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 57¢ 100¢ $45 $79 +$34 (+75%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 67¢ 74¢ $66 $73 +$7 (+11%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 94¢ 94¢ $58 $58 +$0 (+0%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 35¢ 36¢ $19 $19 +$0 (+1%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 9¢ 8¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-6%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 61¢ 0¢ $190 $0 −$190 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Kuwait win on 2026-06-05? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will DR Congo vs. Chile end in a draw? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Singapore vs. Mongolia end in a draw? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Sinners 16¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Philippines vs. Myanmar end in a draw? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI HANJIN BRION 9¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Will Argentina vs. Iceland end in a draw? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will Iraq vs. Venezuela end in a draw? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-01? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Jordan vs. Colombia end in a draw? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants 30¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Hungary vs. Kazakhstan end in a draw? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-24? Yes 63¢ 0¢ $84 $0 −$84 (-100%)
Will Slovenia vs. Cyprus end in a draw? No 48¢ 0¢ $194 $0 −$194 (-100%)
Will Gibraltar win on 2026-06-06? No 6¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-02? Yes 78¢ 0¢ $459 $0 −$459 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $84 −$84 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In Jun 12 $254 −$282 -111%
Dota 2: GLYPH vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Jun 12 $69 −$69 -100%
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-23? Jun 12 $1,630 −$1,630 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 12 $1,665 −$1,665 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $900 +$162 +18%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,110 +$153 +14%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $61 +$32 +52%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $514 +$49 +10%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $59 −$4 -7%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $204 +$10 +5%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $51 +$6 +13%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $284 +$195 +69%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $4 +$2 +57%
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Jun 12 $111 +$13 +12%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $83 +$15 +18%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $61 −$61 -99%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $738 +$107 +14%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $18 +$2 +11%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $217 +$22 +10%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $50 +$59 +119%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $120 +$49 +41%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $14 +$5 +32%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $9 +$1 +14%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $23 +$11 +47%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $3 +$3 +76%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1,157 +$319 +28%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $18 +$32 +184%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $8 +$2 +21%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $8,272 −$6,378 -77%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $2,093 +$2,200 +105%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $631 −$604 -96%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $8 +$1 +17%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $8 +$2 +22%
Will Bolivia win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $1,466 +$198 +14%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $67 +$31 +46%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $433 +$9 +2%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $3,008 −$3,003 -100%
Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw? Jun 11 $191 +$5 +3%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $67 −$67 -100%
Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw? Jun 10 $128 +$10 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 85% −$7,719
other 14% −$574
world 1% +$56
crypto 0% −$93
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 67¢ $42 9m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 67¢ $10 9m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 67¢ $7 9m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 67¢ $5 9m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 67¢ $2 9m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 12¢ $3 34m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 56¢ $42 48m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 73¢ $4 59m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 97¢ $95 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 96¢ $189 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 96¢ $142 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 69¢ $17 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 48¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 75¢ $74 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 77¢ $8 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 95¢ $23 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 94¢ $23 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 93¢ $229 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 96¢ $71 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 87¢ $9 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 87¢ $21 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 89¢ $22 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 89¢ $9 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 91¢ $11 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 91¢ $17 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 89¢ $9 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 91¢ $31 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 91¢ $2 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 91¢ $4 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 91¢ $0 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-31.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 221 -17.6% -25.4% 50% 40% -14.1%
≤30d 465 -24.7% -31.8% 45% 34% -17.3%
≤90d 465 -24.7% -31.8% 45% 34% -17.3%
all 465 -24.7% -31.8% 45% 34% -17.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover186.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -31.8% 34% -17.3%
10% ← realistic here -38.4% 25% -25.2%
15% -44.3% 18% -32.5%
20% -49.8% 14% -39.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $980.18 · official $980.18 (match) · 3500 history records