trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 25% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 25% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 45% | 9% | -9.0% |
| all | 26 | -2.7% | -12.0% | 46% | 4% | -9.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.0% | 4% | -9.1% |
| 10% | -20.4% | 0% | -17.8% |
| 15% | -28.1% | 0% | -25.8% |
| 20% | -35.1% | 0% | -33.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 15 | $40 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 15 | $20 | −$1 | -5% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 14 | $49 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 14 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 14 | $84 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $75 | +$2 | +3% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 13 | $48 | $0 | -0% |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Jun 10 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Mar 20 | $1 | $0 | +11% |
| Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam? | Mar 18 | $181 | +$1 | +0% |
| Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | Mar 18 | $172 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | Mar 17 | $215 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | Mar 16 | $9 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam? | Mar 16 | $121 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before July? | Dec 12 | $12 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Jun 05 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 07 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Ethereum all time high by June 30? | Apr 16 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alabama win the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Mar 29 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 28 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will another coalition form the next German Government? | Mar 26 | $14 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Elon tweet 575-599 times March 14-21? | Mar 22 | $13 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days? | Mar 17 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 16 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Arsenal wins the Premier League? | Mar 15 | $13 | $0 | -0% |