trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +57.3% | +42.3% | 100% | 100% | +44.3% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +57.3% | +42.3% | 100% | 100% | +44.3% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +20.9% | +9.4% | 100% | 55% | +3.2% |
| all | 15 | +2.3% | -7.4% | 87% | 40% | +0.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.4% | 40% | +0.4% |
| 10% | -16.3% | 13% | -9.2% |
| 15% | -24.4% | 13% | -17.9% |
| 20% | -31.8% | 7% | -26.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | No | 39¢ | 76¢ | $12 | $23 | +$11 (+94%) |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? | No | 86¢ | 88¢ | $13 | $13 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June? | No | 84¢ | 87¢ | $9 | $9 | +$0 (+4%) |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 87¢ | 94¢ | $7 | $8 | +$1 (+9%) |
| Bank of England rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 80¢ | 44¢ | $11 | $6 | −$5 (-45%) |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECB rate hike in 2026? | Jun 11 | $11 | +$2 | +18% |
| Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May? | Jun 10 | $12 | +$12 | +97% |
| Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026? | May 06 | $61 | +$6 | +10% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting? | Apr 30 | $17 | +$1 | +8% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%? | Apr 30 | $1 | $0 | +41% |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting | Apr 29 | $25 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will annual inflation increase by ≥4.1% in April? | Apr 28 | $19 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March? | Apr 10 | $25 | +$5 | +21% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March? | Apr 10 | $16 | +$3 | +16% |
| Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March? | Apr 02 | $32 | +$1 | +2% |
| No change in Bank of England's interest rates after March 2026 meeting | Mar 18 | $17 | +$2 | +11% |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the March meeting? | Mar 16 | $16 | $0 | +1% |
| Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.6% in March? | Mar 13 | $23 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in February? | Mar 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 me | Mar 10 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |