trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -39.7% | -45.5% | 25% | 25% | -48.3% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -46.4% | -51.5% | 22% | 22% | -72.3% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -46.4% | -51.5% | 22% | 22% | -72.3% |
| all | 19 | -25.9% | -33.0% | 53% | 16% | -41.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -33.0% | 16% | -41.8% |
| 10% | -39.4% | 16% | -47.4% |
| 15% | -45.2% | 5% | -52.5% |
| 20% | -50.6% | 5% | -57.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $313 | −$305 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $395 | −$386 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $423 | −$414 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $729 | −$718 | -98% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $321 | +$830 | +259% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $647 | −$638 | -99% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $866 | +$203 | +23% |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $243 | −$237 | -98% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $3,384 | −$3,361 | -99% |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legisla | Feb 08 | $10,729 | −$2,028 | -19% |
| Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November? | Feb 08 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia in 2025? | Feb 08 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will no CEO be announced in 2025? | Feb 08 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Novem | Feb 08 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | Feb 08 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | Feb 08 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | Feb 08 | $10 | $0 | +3% |
| Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale? | Nov 17 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) | Nov 02 | $999 | +$314 | +31% |