trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 100% | 0% | -8.6% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 100% | 0% | -8.6% |
| all | 18 | +11.9% | +1.2% | 78% | 28% | -6.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +1.2% | 28% | -6.9% |
| 10% | -8.5% | 28% | -15.8% |
| 15% | -17.3% | 28% | -23.9% |
| 20% | -25.4% | 28% | -31.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by May 31? | Jun 01 | $3 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | May 09 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30? | Apr 30 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by April 30? | Apr 29 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on May 1, 2026? | Apr 29 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 17, 2026? | Apr 15 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026? | Mar 30 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | Mar 29 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025? | Dec 30 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia? | Dec 29 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market | Dec 24 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 157m and 167m? | Dec 23 | $1 | +$1 | +52% |
| Will more people travel on Thanksgiving than last year? | Nov 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 23? | Nov 26 | $1 | +$1 | +133% |
| Will Bill Ackman say "Trump" 4+ times during the X Space event on Nove | Nov 20 | $1 | +$1 | +104% |
| Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November | Nov 15 | $1 | +$1 | +61% |
| Will Meta (META) finish week of November 10 above $630? | Nov 15 | $2 | +$1 | +56% |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season? | Oct 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |