Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:38:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2F
0x2ff7…bf32
sports · 294 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$3,401 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7,685 · open −$4,284
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3,884
Realized+$7,685
Unrealized−$4,284
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses159 / 116
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$1,137
Open positions19
Markets (closed)275 / 294
History coverage7d
Avg bet$306
Trades / day461.7
Drawdown75%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 19 History 275 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,017
7 days+$7,685
14 days+$7,685
30 days+$7,685
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 51¢ 36¢ $2,519 $1,738 −$780 (-31%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 56¢ 54¢ $565 $543 −$22 (-4%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Misa Esports 68¢ 100¢ $200 $295 +$94 (+47%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $183 $172 −$11 (-6%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 54¢ 100¢ $91 $169 +$78 (+86%)
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 58¢ 80¢ $114 $157 +$44 (+38%)
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 64¢ 62¢ $152 $149 −$4 (-3%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 47¢ 46¢ $141 $139 −$1 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? No 52¢ 52¢ $125 $124 −$1 (-1%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Misa Esports 71¢ 69¢ $124 $122 −$2 (-2%)
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 Under 44¢ 42¢ $83 $80 −$3 (-3%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 41¢ 40¢ $78 $77 −$1 (-1%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 Under 58¢ 56¢ $47 $46 −$1 (-2%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner G2 NORD 85¢ 100¢ $26 $30 +$5 (+18%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 32¢ 2¢ $456 $22 −$435 (-95%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Legacy 28¢ 2¢ $142 $13 −$129 (-91%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner G2 NORD 80¢ 83¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 70¢ 0¢ $2,707 $2 −$2,705 (-100%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Team Falcons 50¢ 0¢ $410 $0 −$410 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 53¢ 0¢ $132 $0 −$132 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 Under 46¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5) Colorado Rockies 22¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 53¢ 0¢ $551 $0 −$551 (-100%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 57¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 65¢ 0¢ $1,607 $0 −$1,607 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $955 +$674 +71%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $990 −$889 -90%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $337 +$322 +96%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $639 +$414 +65%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $264 −$14 -5%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $554 −$341 -62%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $308 −$308 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,623 −$1,607 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $136 −$134 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $306 +$35 +11%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $770 −$762 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $86 −$86 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $124 −$124 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $351 −$344 -98%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $8 −$8 -99%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $148 +$252 +170%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $115 +$85 +73%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $874 +$472 +54%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $609 +$151 +25%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $203 −$21 -10%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5) Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $14 +$6 +42%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $38 −$14 -38%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $62 +$11 +17%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $60 −$59 -99%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $21 −$21 -100%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $179 +$94 +52%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $850 +$605 +71%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $208 +$71 +34%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $13 +$4 +32%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $70 +$37 +54%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $422 +$211 +50%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 11 $454 +$245 +54%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $167 +$85 +51%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $20 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $514 +$175 +34%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $107 +$72 +67%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $6 +$20 +336%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $78 +$60 +77%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $314 +$67 +21%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $121 −$119 -99%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $41 −$41 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $293 −$132 -45%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $846 −$281 -33%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $929 +$359 +39%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $188 +$115 +61%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $19 −$19 -99%
Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5) Jun 11 $159 −$159 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $408 −$402 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $630 −$630 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$3,398
other 1% −$16
crypto 0% +$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 30¢ $8 3m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 30¢ $2 3m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 30¢ $2 3m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 30¢ $8 3m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 30¢ $54 3m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 30¢ $1 3m
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY G2 NORD 80¢ $3 5m
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY G2 NORD 80¢ $2 6m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY Misa Esports 69¢ $17 17m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY Misa Esports 69¢ $51 19m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 47¢ $376 21m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 47¢ $89 21m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 47¢ $50 21m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 49¢ $89 23m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 49¢ $424 23m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 48¢ $914 24m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 63¢ $128 28m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 64¢ $129 29m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 64¢ $5 29m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 64¢ $7 29m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 64¢ $4 29m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 64¢ $13 29m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 64¢ $6 29m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 64¢ $9 29m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 64¢ $5 29m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 64¢ $10 29m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 64¢ $11 29m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 64¢ $3 29m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 64¢ $10 29m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 64¢ $6 29m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)+1.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 275 +12.0% +1.3% 58% 54% -1.1%
≤30d 275 +12.0% +1.3% 58% 54% -1.1%
≤90d 275 +12.0% +1.3% 58% 54% -1.1%
all 275 +12.0% +1.3% 58% 54% -1.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover461.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1.3% 54% -1.1%
10% ← realistic here -8.4% 47% -10.6%
15% -17.2% 39% -19.2%
20% -25.3% 31% -27.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,883.53 · official $3,883.56 (match) · 3500 history records