Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:06:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2F
0x2ff7…5c5a
crypto · 6 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$6 -59%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses3 / 3
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)6 / 6
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day5.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 0 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +113%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 70% −$6
other 20% $0
sports 10% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 23h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $2 23h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $1 30h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 80¢ $1 31h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 52¢ $1 31h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-33.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -26.9% -33.9% 50% 33% -60.1%
≤30d 6 -26.9% -33.9% 50% 33% -60.1%
≤90d 6 -26.9% -33.9% 50% 33% -60.1%
all 6 -26.9% -33.9% 50% 33% -60.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -33.9% 33% -60.1%
10% -40.2% 33% -63.9%
15% -46.0% 17% -67.4%
20% -51.3% 17% -70.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 10 history records