Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:49:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

30
0x300b…623f
crypto · 1076 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$15 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$128 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$128
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses664 / 412
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1076 / 1076
History coverage3d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day328.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 1076 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$87
7 days−$128
14 days−$128
30 days−$128
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +86%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +90%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +65%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$6 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$88
other 3% −$39
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 14m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $4 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 24m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 32m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 33m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 39m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 52m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 53m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 57m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1076 -0.2% -9.7% 62% 60% -11.4%
≤30d 1076 -0.2% -9.7% 62% 60% -11.4%
≤90d 1076 -0.2% -9.7% 62% 60% -11.4%
all 1076 -0.2% -9.7% 62% 60% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover328.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 60% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 57% -19.9%
15% -26.2% 50% -27.6%
20% -33.4% 41% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2196 history records