trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 7 | -13.5% | -21.8% | 14% | 14% | -7.6% |
| all | 27 | -30.5% | -37.1% | 26% | 19% | -68.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -37.1% | 19% | -68.5% |
| 10% | -43.1% | 19% | -71.5% |
| 15% | -48.6% | 19% | -74.3% |
| 20% | -53.7% | 15% | -76.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open? | Yes | 23¢ | 21¢ | $5,098 | $4,609 | −$489 (-10%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 12 | $280 | +$1,415 | +505% |
| Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 09 | $29 | −$29 | -100% |
| Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 09 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 08 | $438 | −$438 | -100% |
| Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 08 | $495 | −$495 | -100% |
| Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 08 | $79 | −$79 | -100% |
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 08 | $289 | −$289 | -100% |
| Spread: Seahawks (-5.5) | Feb 08 | $6,701 | −$3,657 | -55% |
| Will TreVeyon Henderson win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Feb 08 | $140 | −$140 | -100% |
| Will Rhamondre Stevenson win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Feb 08 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |
| Seahawks vs. Commanders | Nov 03 | $561 | −$561 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET | Nov 03 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Jaguars vs. Raiders | Nov 02 | $701 | −$701 | -100% |
| Falcons vs. Patriots | Nov 02 | $800 | +$375 | +47% |
| Colts vs. Steelers | Nov 02 | $375 | +$623 | +166% |
| Vikings vs. Lions | Nov 02 | $300 | +$489 | +163% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8AM ET | Nov 02 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on November 2? | Nov 02 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET | Nov 02 | $700 | −$3 | -0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET | Nov 02 | $452 | −$200 | -44% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | Nov 02 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi? | Nov 02 | $5,953 | −$5,953 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET | Nov 02 | $100 | +$9 | +9% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11PM ET | Nov 02 | $300 | +$17 | +6% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10PM ET | Nov 02 | $100 | +$81 | +81% |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3? | Nov 02 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Nov 02 | $573 | −$573 | -100% |