Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:09:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

30
0x3024…b996
crypto · 174 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$8,081 -139%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,955 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,955
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses41 / 133
Open positions0
Markets (closed)174 / 174
History coverage19d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day176.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 174 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$553
7 days−$553
14 days−$553
30 days−$1,955
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 in May? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28? No 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28? No 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $53 +$12 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $75 −$63 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $55 −$27 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $45 −$38 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $32 −$30 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $45 −$27 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$16 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $38 −$36 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $34 −$32 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$48 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$40 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$21 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$34 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$22 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$15 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -95%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 in May? May 29 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May? May 29 $5 −$3 -67%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $495 in May? May 29 $0 $0 -69%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $390 in May? May 29 $3 −$3 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET May 29 $7 −$4 -58%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May? May 29 $8 −$5 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET May 29 $4 −$4 -94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May? May 29 $12 −$6 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET May 28 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET May 28 $18 −$17 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET May 28 $14 −$13 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET May 28 $7 −$4 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET May 28 $16 −$11 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET May 28 $26 −$22 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET May 28 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET May 28 $5 +$4 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET May 28 $15 −$14 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET May 28 $38 +$18 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET May 28 $23 −$18 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET May 28 $20 −$19 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET May 28 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET May 28 $15 +$38 +260%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET May 28 $10 −$1 -10%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May? May 28 $4 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET May 28 $20 −$19 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28? May 28 $8 −$7 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$1,866
other 1% −$49
tech 1% −$30
finance 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $29 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $10 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $36 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 18m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-50.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 -76.9% -79.1% 9% 9% -95.3%
≤30d 174 -44.8% -50.0% 24% 21% -42.1%
≤90d 174 -44.8% -50.0% 24% 21% -42.1%
all 174 -44.8% -50.0% 24% 21% -42.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover176.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -50.0% 21% -42.1%
10% ← realistic here -54.8% 20% -47.7%
15% -59.2% 18% -52.7%
20% -63.2% 13% -57.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records