Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:42:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

30
0x3025…fe1e
crypto · 329 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$79 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$79 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$79
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses137 / 192
Open positions0
Markets (closed)329 / 329
History coverage31d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day17.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 329 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days−$1
14 days−$31
30 days−$38
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$79
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 13¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 15¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Down 15¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 174 +1.0% -8.6% 50% 49% -10.0%
≤30d 248 -1.4% -10.8% 46% 46% -14.9%
≤90d 329 -2.5% -11.8% 42% 41% -14.7%
all 329 -2.5% -11.8% 42% 41% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.8% 41% -14.7%
10% -20.2% 41% -22.9%
15% -27.9% 39% -30.4%
20% -35.0% 29% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 653 history records