Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:02:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

30
0x3064…6e6f
sports · 38 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$4 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$4
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses28 / 9
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)37 / 38
History coverage8d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day15.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 37 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$2
14 days+$4
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 24¢ $1 $1 −$1 (-55%)
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage FULL SENSE 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage NRG 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$7 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -54%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$1 +17%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $6 +$1 +16%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC (BO5) - MPL Indonesia Pl Jun 12 $9 +$1 +16%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$1 +25%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $2 −$2 -99%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron by Vitality vs EVOS (BO5) - MPL Ind Jun 10 $2 $0 +26%
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Jun 10 $2 $0 -3%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $3 −$3 -98%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $16 −$9 -58%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $1 +$2 +113%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 08 $2 +$1 +48%
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group S Jun 07 $10 $0 +1%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Selangor Red Giants vs Team Vamos (BO7) - MP Jun 07 $3 $0 +13%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Selangor Red Giants vs Team Vamos - Game 2 W Jun 07 $2 +$1 +26%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 06 $5 $0 +3%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $5 $0 +4%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Lo Jun 06 $1 −$1 -97%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 06 $2 $0 +23%
Games Total: O/U 6.5 Jun 06 $2 +$1 +29%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Invictus Gaming vs Team Vamos (BO7) - MPL Ma Jun 06 $3 +$2 +73%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Invictus Gaming vs Team Vamos - Game 1 Winne Jun 06 $1 +$1 +81%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $6 +$5 +89%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Invictus Gaming vs Selangor Red Giants (BO5) Jun 05 $4 +$1 +21%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Vamos vs Bigetron MY by VIT (BO5) - MPL Jun 05 $2 +$1 +54%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 53% $0
sports 47% +$4
other 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)+0.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 +9.1% -1.3% 74% 60% -8.5%
≤30d 37 +10.6% +0.1% 76% 62% -7.7%
≤90d 37 +10.6% +0.1% 76% 62% -7.7%
all 37 +10.6% +0.1% 76% 62% -7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +0.1% 62% -7.7%
10% -9.5% 38% -16.5%
15% -18.3% 22% -24.6%
20% -26.3% 16% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.56 · official $0.56 (match) · 117 history records