Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:40:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

30
0x3065…9ec5
crypto · 32 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$24 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$24 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$24
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses19 / 13
Open positions0
Markets (closed)32 / 32
History coverage2d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day40.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 32 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24
7 days−$24
14 days−$24
30 days−$24
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$11 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$4 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Down 71¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Down 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 +0.9% -8.7% 59% 31% -28.8%
≤30d 32 +0.9% -8.7% 59% 31% -28.8%
≤90d 32 +0.9% -8.7% 59% 31% -28.8%
all 32 +0.9% -8.7% 59% 31% -28.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover40.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.7% 31% -28.8%
10% ← realistic here -17.4% 28% -35.6%
15% -25.4% 28% -41.8%
20% -32.7% 19% -47.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 119 history records