Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:21:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

30
0x306b…179e
sports · 142 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,975 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,979 · open −$78
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$710
Realized−$1,979
Unrealized−$78
Win rate (resolved)19%
Wins / losses26 / 112
Whale WR (big bets)25%
Est. fees paid−$509
Open positions4
Markets (closed)138 / 142
History coverage33d
Avg bet$757
Trades / day28.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit69%
Chart Positions 4 History 138 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$46
7 days−$182
14 days−$380
30 days−$936
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $787 $709 −$77 (-10%)
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) MOUZ 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Over 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 12? No 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-98%)
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: XLG Gaming (-7.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+7.5) XLG Gaming 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Virtus.pro vs Verso Time (BO5) - MLBB Continental Championships Playoffs Virtus.pro 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: KOLESIE (-3.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+3.5) HEROIC Academy 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs Geek Fam ID - Game 3 Winner Dewa United Esports 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 Under 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: BOMBA Team vs The Ruddy Sack (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage BOMBA Team 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Under 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 5.5 Over 24¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 Over 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Under 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+3.5) NRG 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 Under 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FULL SENSE (-2.5) vs Global Esports (+2.5) FULL SENSE 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) TYLOO 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Global Esports (-6.5) vs XLG Gaming (+6.5) Global Esports 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Ares (-6.5) vs illwill (+6.5) illwill 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Spirit vs Verso Time - Game 4 Winner Verso Time 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 75°F or below on June 11? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-9.5) vs Oxuji Esports (+9.5) Virtus.pro 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Ares (-9.5) vs illwill (+9.5) G2 Ares 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $5,343 +$1 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-6.5) vs G2 Ares (+6.5) Jun 12 $2,797 $0 -0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-3.5) vs G2 Ares (+3.5) Jun 12 $2,352 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $50 −$1 -1%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $50 +$2 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 -5%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 AND Will Korea Republic win on 202 Jun 12 $5 +$10 +193%
Korea Republic to win the second half? Jun 12 $390 $0 -0%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Second half draw? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Yuito Suzuki be in Japan's Starting 11? Jun 12 $18 −$17 -92%
Will Lamine Yamal be in Spain's Starting 11? Jun 12 $17 −$7 -39%
Will Spain be the highest-scoring team in Group H during the Group Sta Jun 12 $17 −$2 -13%
Will Hiroki Ito be in Japan's Starting 11? Jun 12 $18 $0 +1%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $18 −$2 -12%
Will Matheus Cunha be in Brazil's Starting 11? Jun 12 $17 −$3 -16%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5) Jun 11 $46 $0 +0%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Second half draw? Jun 11 $3,098 $0 -0%
Mexico to win the second half? Jun 11 $350 $0 -0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on June 11? Jun 11 $300 $0 -0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5) Jun 11 $2,358 $0 -0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $100 $0 -0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 11 $1,272 $0 -0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: KOLESIE (-3.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+3.5) Jun 11 $50 +$25 +49%
Rainbow Six Siege: M80 vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North America League Sta Jun 11 $3,717 +$1 +0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Bebop (-6.5) vs Oxuji Esports (+6.5) Jun 11 $30 $0 -0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 11 $50 $0 -0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 11 $71 $0 +0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 11 $89 +$1 +1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) Jun 11 $115 $0 -0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 11 $300 $0 -0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 11 $3,083 +$1 +0%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $979 $0 +0%
Map Handicap: ILWL (-1.5) vs RUSTEC (+1.5) Jun 11 $500 $0 -0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 Jun 11 $291 $0 -0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 11 $30 $0 -0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: illwill (-9.5) vs RUSTEC (+9.5) Jun 11 $40 $0 -0%
Rainbow Six Siege: Fury vs PSYKN Company (BO1) - Asia Pacific League A Jun 11 $13,286 $0 +0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 11 $250 $0 -0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5) Jun 11 $250 $0 -0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: GenOne (-3.5) vs Lazer Cats (+3.5) Jun 11 $50 +$25 +49%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 Jun 11 $301 $0 -0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5) Jun 11 $300 $0 -0%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Geek Fam ID - Game 4 Winne Jun 11 $22 $0 -0%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Geek Fam ID - Game 3 Winne Jun 11 $3 $0 +2%
Will Nicola Miccione win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? Jun 11 $2 −$1 -24%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Ares (-9.5) vs illwill (+9.5) Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Ares (-6.5) vs illwill (+6.5) Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 75°F or below on June 11? Jun 10 $0 $0 -80%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 94-95°F on Ju Jun 10 $50 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 96-97°F on Ju Jun 10 $50 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 63% −$555
other 28% −$129
crypto 5% −$333
world 3% −$1,040
finance 0% $0
weather 0% $0
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 0¢ $0 47m
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 SELL Over 0¢ $1 48m
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) BUY MOUZ 0¢ $1 48m
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) BUY MOUZ 0¢ $0 49m
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 0¢ $0 59m
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) SELL MOUZ 0¢ $0 1h
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) BUY FURIA 100¢ $30 1h
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 0¢ $0 1h
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) BUY MOUZ 0¢ $0 1h
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 SELL Under 100¢ $30 1h
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) BUY MOUZ 0¢ $0 1h
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Under 100¢ $10 1h
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 SELL Under 100¢ $250 1h
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) BUY MOUZ 0¢ $0 1h
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) BUY MOUZ 0¢ $0 1h
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) BUY MOUZ 0¢ $0 1h
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) BUY MOUZ 0¢ $0 1h
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) BUY FURIA 100¢ $100 1h
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 SELL Under 100¢ $5 1h
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 SELL Under 100¢ $5 1h
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 SELL Under 100¢ $5 1h
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 SELL Under 100¢ $5 1h
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Under 100¢ $250 1h
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) BUY MOUZ 0¢ $0 1h
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) BUY MOUZ 0¢ $0 1h
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 0¢ $0 1h
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Under 100¢ $50 1h
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) BUY FURIA 100¢ $50 1h
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 SELL Over 100¢ $5 2h
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 100¢ $250 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)+11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 128 +26.8% +14.7% 18% 3% -9.8%
≤30d 136 +24.1% +12.3% 19% 4% -10.4%
≤90d 138 +23.5% +11.8% 19% 4% -11.3%
all 138 +23.5% +11.8% 19% 4% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.1 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +11.8% 4% -11.3%
10% +1.1% 4% -19.8%
15% ← realistic here -8.7% 4% -27.5%
20% -17.6% 3% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $710.11 · official $710.10 (match) · 1003 history records