trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 29 | -15.5% | -23.5% | 55% | 38% | +6.1% |
| ≤30d | 29 | -15.5% | -23.5% | 55% | 38% | +6.1% |
| ≤90d | 29 | -15.5% | -23.5% | 55% | 38% | +6.1% |
| all | 29 | -15.5% | -23.5% | 55% | 38% | +6.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -23.5% | 38% | +6.1% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -30.9% | 14% | -4.0% |
| 15% | -37.5% | 7% | -13.3% |
| 20% | -43.7% | 3% | -21.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $28 | $28 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | No | 46¢ | 44¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $50 | +$7 | +14% |
| South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score | Jun 25 | $429 | +$37 | +8% |
| Czechia vs. Mexico: Both Teams to Score | Jun 25 | $621 | +$32 | +5% |
| Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | Jun 25 | $5 | −$4 | -76% |
| Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 7.5 Total Corners | Jun 25 | $20 | −$13 | -62% |
| Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 6.5 Total Corners | Jun 25 | $32 | −$13 | -41% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $712 | +$255 | +36% |
| Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 25 | $16 | −$7 | -42% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $82 | −$72 | -87% |
| Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? | Jun 25 | $12 | −$4 | -34% |
| Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5 | Jun 25 | $307 | +$42 | +14% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $725 | +$195 | +27% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $462 | +$331 | +72% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $239 | −$104 | -44% |
| Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $307 | +$59 | +19% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $5 | −$1 | -22% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $131 | −$97 | -74% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $169 | +$12 | +7% |
| Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score | Jun 23 | $8 | +$2 | +20% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $544 | +$45 | +8% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | Jun 23 | $43 | −$18 | -42% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | Jun 23 | $16 | −$1 | -5% |
| Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score | Jun 23 | $8 | +$2 | +32% |
| Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $20 | −$17 | -88% |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $53 | +$9 | +17% |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals | Jun 23 | $1 | $0 | -32% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $337 | +$73 | +22% |
| France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score | Jun 23 | $154 | +$23 | +15% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $90 | +$5 | +5% |