Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:08:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

30
0x3090…be73
sports · 569 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,305 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,266 · open −$39
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$16,058
Realized−$5,266
Unrealized−$39
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses343 / 218
Whale WR (big bets)55%
Est. fees paid−$2,155
Open positions8
Markets (closed)561 / 569
History coverage65d
Avg bet$415
Trades / day34.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 8 History 561 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$418
7 days+$919
14 days+$415
30 days−$6,705
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? No 75¢ 74¢ $5,146 $5,120 −$26 (-0%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? No 76¢ 76¢ $4,074 $4,101 +$27 (+1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Over 66¢ 66¢ $3,960 $3,990 +$30 (+1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 62¢ 62¢ $2,554 $2,534 −$21 (-1%)
Set Handicap: Cirstea (-1.5) vs Raducanu (+1.5) Raducanu 100¢ 100¢ $258 $258 +$0 (+0%)
Set Handicap: Cilic (-1.5) vs Borges (+1.5) Borges 98¢ 100¢ $41 $42 +$1 (+1%)
HSBC Championships (Doubles): Fernandez/Siegemund vs Panova/Schuurs Fernandez/Siegemund 100¢ 99¢ $14 $14 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 12? No 49¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs illwill (+1.5) fnatic 25¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
ITF Wichita: Jaeda Daniel vs Ekaterina Khayrutdinova Jaeda Daniel 27¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? Over 42¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
ITF Kayseri: Alana Subasic vs Elizabeth Prangley Elizabeth Prangley 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season Natus Vincere 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Hanwha Eagles Hanwha Eagles 54¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Toronto KOI (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Playoffs Toronto KOI 23¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
ITF Kayseri: Cagan Efe Tufekci vs Patrick Schoen Cagan Efe Tufekci 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Under 48¢ 0¢ $106 $0 −$106 (-100%)
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Leviatan Esports 48¢ 0¢ $413 $0 −$413 (-100%)
ITF Zagreb: Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Ela Plosnik Ela Plosnik 9¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Dplus KIA 34¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Will El Gouna SC win on 2026-05-12? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Valencia vs. Gran Canaria Gran Canaria 20¢ 0¢ $190 $0 −$190 (-100%)
ITF Monastir: Markus Molder vs Lucca Soares Guerra Maio Ribeiro Lucca Soares Guerra Maio Ribeiro 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: France vs Switzerland Switzerland 18¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs MOUZ 18¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Boyer vs. Izquierdo: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $64 $0 +0%
Boyer vs. Izquierdo: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $78 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Boogaard (+1.5) Jun 12 $125 +$1 +0%
Medvedev vs. Boogaard: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $64 $0 +0%
Daniil Medvedev vs. Thijs Boogaard: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Medvedev vs. Boogaard: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $64 $0 +0%
Medvedev vs. Boogaard: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $78 $0 +0%
Cristian vs. Boulter: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $95 +$5 +5%
Tomljanovic vs. Yastremska: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $104 +$2 +2%
Set Handicap: Yastremska (-1.5) vs Tomljanovic (+1.5) Jun 12 $90 +$1 +1%
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Maria (+1.5) Jun 12 $139 +$1 +1%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $978 −$601 -62%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $1,160 +$85 +7%
Set Handicap: Bouzkova (-1.5) vs Vekic (+1.5) Jun 12 $115 +$15 +13%
Set Handicap: Dellavedova (-1.5) vs Kim (+1.5) Jun 12 $46 +$4 +9%
Spread: Czechia (-2.5) Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $229 +$21 +9%
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Jun 12 $28 $0 +0%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $80 +$1 +2%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $417 +$14 +3%
Set Handicap: Balshaw (-1.5) vs Martinez (+1.5) Jun 11 $198 +$2 +1%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Win Jun 11 $144 +$6 +4%
Set Handicap: Kyrgios (-1.5) vs Shimabukuro (+1.5) Jun 11 $100 +$1 +1%
Set Handicap: Bondioli (-1.5) vs Jong (+1.5) Jun 11 $14 $0 +0%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $17 +$1 +5%
Set Handicap: Griekspoor (-1.5) vs Zhang (+1.5) Jun 11 $39 +$1 +2%
ITF Maanshan: Artem Alekseychuk vs Hanyi Liu Jun 11 $148 +$1 +1%
ITF Wuning: Yidi Yang vs Mai Hontama Jun 11 $230 −$39 -17%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $20 $0 +1%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $69 +$1 +1%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $69 +$1 +1%
ITF Wuning: Reina Goto vs Zongyu Li Jun 11 $1,227 +$23 +2%
Exact Score: Bolivia 1 - 1 Algeria? Jun 11 $19 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Bolivia 1 - 2 Algeria? Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Bolivia 1 - 0 Algeria? Jun 11 $19 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Bolivia 2 - 1 Algeria? Jun 11 $19 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Bolivia 2 - 0 Algeria? Jun 11 $9 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Bolivia 0 - 0 Algeria? Jun 11 $14 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Bolivia 3 - 2 Algeria? Jun 11 $33 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Bolivia 3 - 0 Algeria? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $50 $0 +0%
Algeria leading at halftime? Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Bolivia 2 - 3 Algeria? Jun 11 $19 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Bolivia 3 - 1 Algeria? Jun 11 $19 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Bolivia 3 - 3 Algeria? Jun 11 $19 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Bolivia 1 - 3 Algeria? Jun 11 $19 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Bolivia 2 - 2 Algeria? Jun 11 $19 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Bolivia 0 - 2 Algeria? Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Bolivia 0 - 3 Algeria? Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $8 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 83% −$1,935
other 17% −$3,286
weather 0% −$50
crypto 0% −$34
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Set Handicap: Cirstea (-1.5) vs Raducanu (+1.5) BUY Raducanu 100¢ $100 26m
Set Handicap: Cirstea (-1.5) vs Raducanu (+1.5) BUY Raducanu 100¢ $158 26m
Boyer vs. Izquierdo: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 100¢ $64 56m
Boyer vs. Izquierdo: Match O/U 23.5 BUY Over 100¢ $78 1h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard SELL Daniil Medvedev 32¢ $376 1h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 81¢ $978 1h
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Boogaard (+1.5) BUY Boogaard 100¢ $68 1h
Daniil Medvedev vs. Thijs Boogaard: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Over 2.5 100¢ $50 1h
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Boogaard (+1.5) BUY Boogaard 99¢ $57 1h
Medvedev vs. Boogaard: Match O/U 23.5 BUY Over 100¢ $64 1h
Medvedev vs. Boogaard: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Over 100¢ $78 1h
Medvedev vs. Boogaard: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 100¢ $64 1h
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Oriol Roca Batalla 96¢ $10 2h
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Oriol Roca Batalla 92¢ $17 2h
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Oriol Roca Batalla 92¢ $106 2h
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Oriol Roca Batalla 92¢ $457 2h
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Oriol Roca Batalla 98¢ $11 2h
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Oriol Roca Batalla 98¢ $98 2h
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Oriol Roca Batalla 92¢ $6 2h
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Oriol Roca Batalla 92¢ $4 2h
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Oriol Roca Batalla 92¢ $320 2h
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Oriol Roca Batalla 92¢ $6 2h
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Oriol Roca Batalla 92¢ $4 2h
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Oriol Roca Batalla 98¢ $122 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 66¢ $472 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 66¢ $3,168 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 66¢ $56 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 66¢ $264 2h
Cristian vs. Boulter: Match O/U 23.5 BUY Under 95¢ $95 3h
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Maria (+1.5) BUY Maria 99¢ $99 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 117 +1.3% -8.4% 91% 11% -7.7%
≤30d 374 -2.8% -12.0% 67% 26% -13.5%
≤90d 561 -2.1% -11.4% 61% 32% -11.7%
all 561 -2.1% -11.4% 61% 32% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 32% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 27% -20.1%
15% -27.6% 24% -27.8%
20% -34.7% 20% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16,057.88 · official $16,057.88 (match) · 2622 history records