Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T10:59:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
30 0x30b4…b8c4 crypto 139 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d only
✗ bot/MM pace (3308 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ net negative once open positions are counted
Total PnL −$141 (-2%) realized +$1 · open −$142
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +30% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +0% what you keep after slip
Net edge+0%after slip
Net WR26%break-even
Win rate56%70W / 56L
Drawdown17%max
Avg bet$41per market
Trades / day3308.0pace
Kalshi-fit69%portable
Net worth$411now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 79% +$89
other 21% +$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (3308 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)+18.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 126 +30.5% +18.1% 56% 26% -5.0%
≤30d 126 +30.5% +18.1% 56% 26% -5.0%
≤90d 126 +30.5% +18.1% 56% 26% -5.0%
all 126 +30.5% +18.1% 56% 26% -5.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3308.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +18.1% 26% -5.0%
10% ← realistic here +6.8% 16% -14.1%
15% -3.5% 11% -22.4%
20% -13.0% 9% -30.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
53% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +31% · $-wt +5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +59% → late +2% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
18.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$4 · ×1.62 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×2.03 per $1 lost it wins $2.03
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$411
Realized+$1
Unrealized−$142
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses70 / 56
Open positions13
Markets (closed)126 / 139
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$41
Trades / day3308.0
Drawdown17%
Kalshi-fit69%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 13 History 126 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 80¢ 99¢ $39 $48 +$9 (+24%)
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 65¢ 100¢ $30 $46 +$16 (+53%)
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 58¢ 100¢ $25 $42 +$17 (+71%)
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 54¢ 94¢ $22 $39 +$16 (+74%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 70¢ 100¢ $25 $35 +$10 (+42%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 65¢ 100¢ $23 $35 +$12 (+54%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 78¢ 98¢ $27 $34 +$7 (+27%)
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 70¢ 98¢ $24 $33 +$10 (+41%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 62¢ 94¢ $21 $31 +$11 (+52%)
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 70¢ 100¢ $15 $21 +$6 (+42%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 60¢ 100¢ $11 $19 +$7 (+67%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 92¢ 100¢ $15 $16 +$1 (+8%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 44¢ 98¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+124%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 64¢ 6¢ $22 $2 −$20 (-91%)
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 53¢ 6¢ $17 $2 −$15 (-90%)
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 37¢ 2¢ $13 $1 −$12 (-96%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 25¢ 2¢ $8 $0 −$7 (-94%)
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 17¢ 1¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-96%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 35¢ 2¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-96%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$7 (-97%)
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$11 (-98%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-99%)
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-97%)
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 23 $37 −$8 -20%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 23 $19 −$9 -46%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 23 $58 −$3 -4%
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 23 $64 −$2 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 23 $67 −$6 -8%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 23 $31 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 23 $65 −$15 -22%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 23 $12 −$1 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 23 $69 +$5 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 23 $24 −$1 -4%
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 23 $50 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 23 $94 −$16 -17%
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 23 $20 −$2 -10%
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 23 $35 +$13 +36%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 23 $13 −$3 -20%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 23 $9 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 23 $51 +$7 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 23 $57 +$5 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 23 $24 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 23 $66 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 23 $86 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 23 $81 +$4 +5%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 23 $23 +$4 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 23 $41 +$2 +6%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 -1%
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 23 $34 −$9 -26%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 23 $49 −$3 -6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 23 $15 +$1 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 23 $33 +$5 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 23 $73 +$5 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 23 $29 +$6 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 23 $68 +$4 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 23 $55 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 23 $93 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 23 $22 +$6 +25%
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 23 $45 +$3 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 23 $47 +$3 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 23 $43 −$6 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 23 $115 +$5 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 23 $25 +$9 +36%
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 23 $21 +$4 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 23 $77 −$2 -3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 23 $18 +$12 +64%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 23 $64 −$10 -16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 23 $15 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 23 $49 −$6 -12%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 23 $22 +$2 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 23 $35 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 23 $39 +$4 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 23 $59 −$13 -21%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 0m
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 0m
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1m
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 1m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $1 1m
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $1 1m
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 83¢ $5 1m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 1m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 1m
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $1 1m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $3 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $0 1m
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $1 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $2 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $0 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $0 1m
BNB Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $0 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 1m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $410.95 · official $413.38 (match) · 3500 history records