Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:32:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

30
0x30ce…6b2b
other · 170 markets active 24d ago
0.0score
−$15,382 -100%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15,382 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$15,382
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 170
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)170 / 170
Avg bet$90
Trades / day62.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit66%
Chart Positions 0 History 170 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 11? Apr 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 11? Apr 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 11? Apr 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on April 11? Apr 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on April 11? Apr 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Apr 09 $77 −$77 -100%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Apr 09 $53 −$53 -100%
Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Apr 09 $77 −$77 -100%
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Apr 09 $77 −$77 -100%
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Apr 09 $75 −$75 -100%
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Apr 09 $62 −$62 -100%
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Apr 09 $77 −$77 -100%
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Apr 09 $77 −$77 -100%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Apr 09 $71 −$71 -100%
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Apr 09 $77 −$77 -100%
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Apr 09 $64 −$64 -100%
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Apr 09 $77 −$77 -100%
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Apr 09 $75 −$75 -100%
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Apr 09 $64 −$64 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on Ap Apr 08 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 08 $193 −$193 -100%
Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 08 $182 −$182 -100%
Will Corey Conners win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 08 $192 −$192 -100%
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 08 $193 −$193 -100%
Will Ben Griffin win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 08 $193 −$193 -100%
Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 08 $183 −$183 -100%
Will Sergio Garcia win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 08 $193 −$193 -100%
Will Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 08 $193 −$193 -100%
Will Casey Jarvis win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 08 $149 −$149 -100%
Will Zach Johnson win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 08 $193 −$193 -100%
Will Max Greyserman win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 08 $182 −$182 -100%
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 08 $183 −$183 -100%
Will Johnny Keefer win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 08 $69 −$69 -100%
Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 08 $182 −$182 -100%
Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 08 $193 −$193 -100%
Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 08 $191 −$191 -100%
Will Brian Harman win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 08 $184 −$184 -100%
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 08 $181 −$181 -100%
Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 08 $184 −$184 -100%
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 08 $176 −$176 -100%
Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 08 $182 −$182 -100%
Will Michael Brennan win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 08 $22 −$22 -99%
Will Harris English win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 08 $192 −$192 -100%
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 08 $160 −$160 -100%
Will Charl Schwartzel win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 08 $193 −$193 -100%
Will Matt McCarty win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 08 $193 −$193 -100%
Will Dustin Johnson win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 08 $183 −$183 -100%
Will Bubba Watson win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 08 $193 −$193 -100%
Will Cameron Smith win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 08 $183 −$183 -100%
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 08 $183 −$183 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 85% −$13,111
politics 10% −$1,549
weather 3% −$424
world 2% −$251
sports 0% −$30
finance 0% −$10
tech 0% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Nicole Lee Ethington be the Republican nominee for KY-04? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 24d
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 24d
Will Victoria Doyle be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 24d
Will Victoria Doyle be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 24d
Will Victoria Doyle be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23? SELL Yes 6¢ $3 24d
Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23? SELL Yes 34¢ $76 24d
Will Everett Wess be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 24d
Will Everett Wess be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 24d
Will Nicole Lee Ethington be the Republican nominee for KY-04? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 24d
Will Lars Boje Mathiesen be the next prime minister of Denmark after t SELL Yes 0¢ $1 24d
Will Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the SELL Yes 0¢ $0 27d
Will Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the SELL Yes 5¢ $5 27d
Will Helder Barbalho finish in second place in the first round of the SELL Yes 0¢ $0 27d
Will Helder Barbalho finish in third place in the first round of the 2 SELL Yes 0¢ $0 28d
Will Tereza Cristina finish in third place in the first round of the 2 SELL Yes 0¢ $0 28d
Will Robert Wells Jr. be the Republican nominee for KY-04? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 28d
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes 0¢ $3 28d
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes 0¢ $3 28d
Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2 SELL Yes 0¢ $1 29d
Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 29d
Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22? SELL Yes 3¢ $2 29d
Will Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Electi SELL Yes 0¢ $2 30d
Will Cho Eung-chun win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Electi SELL Yes 0¢ $2 30d
Will Kevin Lee McCants win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic prim SELL Yes 0¢ $0 31d
Will Kevin Lee McCants win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic prim SELL Yes 0¢ $0 31d
Will Kevin Lee McCants win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic prim SELL Yes 0¢ $0 31d
Will Kevin Lee McCants win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic prim SELL Yes 0¢ $0 31d
Will Martin Lidegaard be the next prime minister of Denmark after the SELL Yes 0¢ $0 33d
Will Martin Lidegaard be the next prime minister of Denmark after the SELL Yes 0¢ $1 33d
Will Jasmine Crockett and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas SELL Yes 0¢ $0 35d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d 170 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 170 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover62.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records