Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:26:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

30
0x30e7…ac4f
crypto · 810 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,542 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,534 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,534
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses414 / 786
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1200 / 810
History coverage4d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day683.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1200 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,690
7 days−$2,534
14 days−$2,534
30 days−$2,534
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-98%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$307
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $8 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $9 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $9 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $6 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $9 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $8 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $7 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $8 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $9 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $8 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $9 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $8 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $8 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $8 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $8 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $8 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-40.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1200 -34.0% -40.3% 34% 22% -20.5%
≤30d 1200 -34.0% -40.3% 34% 22% -20.5%
≤90d 1200 -34.0% -40.3% 34% 22% -20.5%
all 1200 -34.0% -40.3% 34% 22% -20.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover683.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -40.3% 22% -20.5%
10% ← realistic here -46.0% 16% -28.1%
15% -51.3% 12% -35.0%
20% -56.0% 8% -41.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.14 · official $18.41 · 3500 history records