Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:35:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

30
0x30ee…5fd1
other · 261 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$80 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$90 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$90
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)5%
Wins / losses14 / 247
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$12
Open positions0
Markets (closed)261 / 261
History coverage136d
Avg bet$202
Trades / day9.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit61%
Chart Positions 0 History 261 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$16
14 days−$23
30 days−$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 14 $135 $0 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 14 $420 −$1 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $662 −$1 -0%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 14 $155 $0 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 13 $377 −$1 -0%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $61 $0 -0%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 13 $187 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Jun 13 $61 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $481 −$1 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 13 $605 −$1 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 12 $434 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 12 $232 $0 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $62 $0 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $293 $0 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $491 −$1 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 11 $314 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $393 $0 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 11 $138 $0 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 10 $135 $0 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $330 −$1 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $132 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $157 $0 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 10 $63 $0 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $348 −$1 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $145 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $591 −$1 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 09 $712 −$1 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 08 $131 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $244 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $569 −$1 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $203 $0 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 07 $395 −$1 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 07 $135 $0 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 07 $264 $0 +0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $44 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 06 $279 $0 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $728 −$1 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 05 $424 −$1 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $316 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 05 $157 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $452 −$1 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $319 $0 -0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $209 $0 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 03 $545 −$1 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 02 $440 −$1 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 01 $231 −$1 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 31 $278 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 29 $254 $0 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 29 $213 $0 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? May 28 $456 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 45% −$43
sports 25% −$21
politics 8% −$4
culture 7% −$8
crypto 6% −$5
economics 5% −$5
world 4% −$3
tech 1% −$1
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $60 23m
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $60 1h
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $60 3h
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $60 4h
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $60 7h
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $60 9h
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $60 13h
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $61 15h
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $61 19h
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $61 20h
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 98¢ $61 24h
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 98¢ $61 25h
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $61 28h
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $61 30h
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $61 30h
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $61 32h
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $61 37h
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $61 39h
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $61 39h
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $62 41h
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 100¢ $62 42h
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $62 44h
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? SELL No 99¢ $62 2d
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? BUY No 100¢ $62 2d
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 98¢ $62 2d
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 98¢ $62 2d
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $62 2d
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 99¢ $62 2d
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $62 2d
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $62 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 67 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 180 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
all 261 -0.2% -9.7% 5% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1390 history records