Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:34:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

30
0x30f6…1834
crypto · 1030 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$1,296 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,296 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$36
Realized+$1,296
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses1020 / 9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1029 / 1030
History coverage46d
Avg bet$86
Trades / day22.4
Drawdown18%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 0 History 1029 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$48
7 days−$2
14 days+$25
30 days+$1,325
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
BNB Up or Down - May 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - May 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - May 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - June 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - May 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - May 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - May 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - June 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $160 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $160 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $160 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $160 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $73 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $92 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $160 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $63 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $160 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $160 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $160 +$8 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $160 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $17 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $160 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $160 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 11 $160 +$3 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 11 $160 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $160 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $160 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $33 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $160 +$5 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 10 $160 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 10 $160 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 10 $44 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $160 +$3 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $43 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $160 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $46 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $160 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 10 $160 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $160 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 10 $95 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 10 $160 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 10 $160 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 10 $160 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 10 $23 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 09 $160 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 09 $118 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 09 $160 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 09 $28 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 09 $160 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 09 $160 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 09 $9 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% +$1,197
other 10% +$98
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $160 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $21 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $160 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $160 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $160 8h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $92 8h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $73 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $160 8h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $63 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $160 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $160 11h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $0 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $160 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $160 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $17 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $160 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $160 22h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 22h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $160 36h
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $160 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $160 36h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $0 38h
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $160 41h
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $33 43h
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $160 44h
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $160 44h
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $160 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $44 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $160 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-7.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 215 -0.0% -9.6% 99% 1% -9.5%
≤30d 864 +1.2% -8.4% 99% 0% -8.1%
≤90d 1029 +1.8% -7.9% 99% 0% -8.2%
all 1029 +1.8% -7.9% 99% 0% -8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.9% 0% -8.2%
10% ← realistic here -16.7% 0% -17.0%
15% -24.7% 0% -25.0%
20% -32.1% 0% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $36.42 · official $0.00 · 1995 history records