Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:47:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

31
0x3100…ec30
crypto · 51 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$18 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$17 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$27
Realized−$17
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses16 / 25
Open positions10
Markets (closed)41 / 51
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day138.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 10 History 41 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17
7 days−$17
14 days−$17
30 days−$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 16? No 100¢ 100¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 13? No 81¢ 88¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+9%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? No 80¢ 88¢ $3 $4 +$0 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? Up 51¢ 36¢ $5 $3 −$1 (-29%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 13? Yes 96¢ 96¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 13? No 97¢ 97¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13? Yes 82¢ 85¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Ethereum Up or Down on June 13? Up 57¢ 58¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 19? No 100¢ 99¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 13? No 99¢ 97¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +331%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +266%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$5 +221%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$4 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$7 -43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +50%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +35%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$3 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -45%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $1 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 26m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 26m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 41m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 -2.1% -11.4% 39% 39% -21.8%
≤30d 41 -2.1% -11.4% 39% 39% -21.8%
≤90d 41 -2.1% -11.4% 39% 39% -21.8%
all 41 -2.1% -11.4% 39% 39% -21.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover138.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 39% -21.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 32% -29.3%
15% -27.6% 27% -36.1%
20% -34.7% 24% -42.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $27.40 · official $27.40 (match) · 179 history records