Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:08:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

31
0x3101…343a
crypto · 8 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$16 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$16 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$16
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses5 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)8 / 8
History coverage1d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day14.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16
7 days−$16
14 days−$16
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $52 −$37 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$24 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$11 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$27 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$14 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$21 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$21 +83%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)+0.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +10.6% +0.1% 62% 62% -15.2%
≤30d 8 +10.6% +0.1% 62% 62% -15.2%
≤90d 8 +10.6% +0.1% 62% 62% -15.2%
all 8 +10.6% +0.1% 62% 62% -15.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +0.1% 62% -15.2%
10% -9.5% 62% -23.3%
15% -18.3% 62% -30.7%
20% -26.3% 50% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 23 history records