trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -3.6% | -12.8% | 60% | 0% | -19.0% |
| all | 13 | -8.4% | -17.1% | 31% | 0% | -17.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.1% | 0% | -17.3% |
| 10% | -25.0% | 0% | -25.2% |
| 15% | -32.3% | 0% | -32.4% |
| 20% | -38.9% | 0% | -39.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out by June 30? | Jun 27 | $118 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | May 05 | $250 | −$45 | -18% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 19? | May 05 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 3? | Apr 07 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on March 25? | Apr 02 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $80 on March 19? | Mar 25 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 05 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 05 | $19 | −$3 | -15% |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 03 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m | Mar 03 | $7 | −$2 | -33% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 02 | $196 | −$2 | -1% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 01 | $36 | −$7 | -19% |
| Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 28 | $25 | −$6 | -22% |