Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:13:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

31
0x310d…cf31
crypto · 9 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$1 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses7 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)9 / 9
History coverage4d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day2.5
Drawdown82%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 9 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +49%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+4.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +15.2% +4.2% 78% 67% +5.0%
≤30d 9 +15.2% +4.2% 78% 67% +5.0%
≤90d 9 +15.2% +4.2% 78% 67% +5.0%
all 9 +15.2% +4.2% 78% 67% +5.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +4.2% 67% +5.0%
10% -5.7% 67% -5.0%
15% -14.8% 67% -14.2%
20% -23.2% 44% -22.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 16 history records