trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 32 | +201.9% | +173.2% | 66% | 50% | +3.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +173.2% | 50% | +3.4% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +147.0% | 44% | -6.5% |
| 15% | +123.2% | 38% | -15.6% |
| 20% | +101.3% | 38% | -23.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 26 | $1,572 | −$771 | -49% |
| Arsenal wins the Premier League? | Apr 20 | $15 | −$10 | -67% |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix? | Apr 19 | $810 | −$132 | -16% |
| Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 19 | $264 | +$553 | +210% |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 19 | $31 | +$231 | +745% |
| Will Greece win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 13 | $300 | +$226 | +75% |
| Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix? | Apr 12 | $2,042 | −$100 | -5% |
| Will Leicester win on 2025-04-12? | Apr 12 | $1,345 | −$155 | -12% |
| Will Serbia win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 11 | $327 | +$464 | +142% |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 11 | $29 | +$310 | +1076% |
| Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 10 | $36 | +$196 | +544% |
| Will Slovenia win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 08 | $203 | +$124 | +61% |
| Will Iceland win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 07 | $310 | +$322 | +104% |
| Will Armenia win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 07 | $212 | +$39 | +18% |
| Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 07 | $580 | −$101 | -17% |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $330b and $340b on April 30? | Apr 06 | $72 | −$21 | -29% |
| Will Italy win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 06 | $36 | +$91 | +250% |
| Will Liam Lawson win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix? | Apr 05 | $2 | +$1 | +26% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88000 and $86000 on April 4? | Apr 04 | $31 | −$2 | -5% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting? | Apr 03 | $9 | +$3 | +30% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | Apr 03 | $925 | +$46 | +5% |
| Pistons vs. Thunder | Apr 02 | $223 | +$21 | +9% |
| Pelicans vs. Clippers | Apr 02 | $13 | +$2 | +17% |
| Spurs vs. Nuggets | Apr 02 | $535 | −$26 | -5% |
| Will Leicester win on 2025-04-02? | Apr 02 | $150 | $0 | -0% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | Apr 02 | $926 | +$16 | +2% |
| Will Poland win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 02 | $2 | +$217 | +14478% |
| Hornets vs. Pacers | Apr 02 | $30 | +$3 | +10% |
| Will Fulham win on 2025-04-01? | Apr 01 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Norway win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 01 | $21 | +$102 | +478% |
| Will Germany win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 01 | $15 | +$128 | +862% |
| Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 31 | $102 | +$2 | +2% |