Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:29:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

31
0x3110…298e
crypto · 39 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$23 -23%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$23 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$23
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses12 / 27
Open positions0
Markets (closed)39 / 39
History coverage98d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 39 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$16
14 days−$16
30 days−$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 10 $12 +$10 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$4 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$9 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET May 15 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET May 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET May 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET May 05 $3 +$4 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET May 05 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Mar 06 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Mar 06 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Mar 06 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Mar 06 $2 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Mar 06 $3 +$2 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Mar 06 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Mar 06 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Mar 06 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Mar 06 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Mar 06 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Mar 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Mar 06 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Mar 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Mar 06 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Mar 06 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Mar 06 $1 −$1 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $12 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $11 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 28d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 28d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 28d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 28d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 38d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 38d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 98d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-46.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -42.5% -48.0% 28% 28% -30.5%
≤30d 21 -42.8% -48.3% 29% 29% -31.4%
≤90d 23 -38.5% -44.4% 30% 30% -27.2%
all 39 -41.0% -46.6% 31% 31% -31.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -46.6% 31% -31.1%
10% -51.7% 31% -37.7%
15% -56.4% 28% -43.7%
20% -60.6% 26% -49.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 61 history records