Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:03:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

31
0x3111…35d6
other · 243 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$94 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$94 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$94
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)5%
Wins / losses13 / 230
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)243 / 243
History coverage128d
Avg bet$222
Trades / day9.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit61%
Chart Positions 0 History 243 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$18
14 days−$32
30 days−$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 13 $630 −$1 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 13 $660 −$1 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $406 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $126 $0 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $392 −$1 -0%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $113 $0 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $677 −$1 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $357 −$1 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 11 $258 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $422 −$1 -0%
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $328 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $362 $0 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $264 −$1 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 10 $610 −$1 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 10 $466 −$1 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 10 $871 −$1 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 09 $352 −$1 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $1,160 −$2 -0%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 Jun 09 $76 $0 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $400 −$1 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $272 $0 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 08 $690 −$2 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 08 $454 −$1 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $471 −$1 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 06 $368 −$1 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $268 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 05 $372 −$1 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 05 $197 −$1 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 05 $61 $0 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $423 −$1 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 05 $128 $0 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 05 $165 $0 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 05 $239 −$1 -0%
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 04 $128 $0 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 04 $226 $0 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 04 $138 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 04 $466 −$1 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 04 $408 −$1 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $247 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $588 −$1 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 03 $125 $0 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $195 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 02 $513 −$2 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 01 $134 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 01 $211 $0 -0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $392 $0 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 31 $223 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $582 −$1 -0%
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 31 $64 $0 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? May 31 $320 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 50% −$46
sports 24% −$25
crypto 6% −$3
politics 6% −$5
culture 5% −$5
economics 3% −$7
world 2% −$1
tech 2% −$2
finance 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $55 11m
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $56 1h
Xi Jinping out by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $56 6h
Xi Jinping out by June 30? BUY No 99¢ $56 7h
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 98¢ $56 9h
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $56 10h
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $56 12h
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $56 13h
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $56 15h
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $56 16h
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $56 18h
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $56 20h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $56 21h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $56 23h
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $56 38h
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $56 40h
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $56 42h
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $56 44h
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $56 45h
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $56 47h
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 97¢ $19 2d
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 97¢ $19 2d
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $56 2d
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $57 2d
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $57 2d
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $57 2d
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $57 2d
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $57 2d
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 100¢ $57 2d
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $57 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 73 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 181 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
all 243 -0.2% -9.7% 5% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1336 history records