Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:16:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
31 0x3112…3fcd sports 1534 markets active 0h ago coverage 14d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 14d only
✗ bot/MM pace (169 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$2,122 (+4%) realized +$2,143 · open −$21
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate98%1505W / 24L
Drawdown81%max
Avg bet$36per market
Trades / day168.7pace
Fees−$26est.
Kalshi-fit95%portable
Net worth$216now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$96
7 days−$29
14 days+$260
30 days+$280
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 94% +$248
other 6% +$8
crypto 0% +$1
world 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (169 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 638 -1.0% -10.4% 97% 1% -9.7%
≤30d 1529 +0.1% -9.4% 98% 2% -9.1%
≤90d 1529 +0.1% -9.4% 98% 2% -9.1%
all 1529 +0.1% -9.4% 98% 2% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover168.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 2% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 0% -17.8%
15% -26.0% 0% -25.7%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$28 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.41 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

14d coverage
Net worth$216
Realized+$2,143
Unrealized−$21
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1505 / 24
Est. fees paid−$26
Open positions6
Markets (closed)1529 / 1534
History coverage14d ⚠
Avg bet$36
Trades / day168.7
Drawdown81%
Kalshi-fit95%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 6 History 1529 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ITF Kayseri: Mariya Dobreva vs Daria Shubina Daria Shubina 99¢ 99¢ $99 $99 +$0 (+0%)
ITF Dinard: Anastasiya Kuparev vs Carla Grignac Carla Grignac 99¢ 97¢ $99 $97 −$2 (-2%)
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds? Even 99¢ 50¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-49%)
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds? Odd 99¢ 50¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-49%)
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds? Even 99¢ 50¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-49%)
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds? Odd 99¢ 50¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-49%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Vekic vs. Eala: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 17 $99 +$1 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Grabher vs Sobolieva Jun 17 $99 +$1 +1%
Mertens vs. Bartunkova: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 17 $49 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Rooster vs DXA Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $38 +$2 +5%
Set 2 Winner: Steiner vs Bennemann Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Sagandikova (-1.5) vs Ivanovic (+1.5) Jun 17 $99 +$1 +1%
Set 2 Winner: Astakhova vs Giovannini Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
ITF Men Constanta: Completed Match: Robert Guna vs Dragos Nicolae Caza Jun 17 $99 +$1 +1%
Set 2 Winner: Guna vs Cazacu Jun 17 $99 +$1 +1%
Mertens vs. Bartunkova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 17 $99 +$1 +1%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $40 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Alpha Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $39 +$1 +2%
ITF Maanshan: Dong Ju Kim vs Moerani Bouzige Jun 17 $9 $0 +1%
Set 2 Winner: Heck vs Jones Jun 17 $88 +$1 +1%
ITF Taipei: Gyeong Seo Lee vs Thasaporn Naklo Jun 17 $99 +$1 +1%
ITF Sapporo: Yuhan Liu vs Shiho Tsujioka Jun 17 $99 +$1 +1%
Paskauskas vs. Seye: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Paskauskas vs. Seye: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Figueira Da Foz: Jeline Vandromme vs Allura Zamarripa Jun 16 $95 +$5 +5%
Martin vs. Farzam: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Set 2 Winner: Marinkov vs Langmo Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Martin vs Farzam Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Simakin vs. Vasami: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 16 $48 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: AaB Bulls vs WAZABI - Map 2 Winner Jun 16 $40 $0 +1%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Set Handicap: Monnet (-1.5) vs Trevisan (+1.5) Jun 16 $86 +$1 +1%
Petkovic vs. Tailleu: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 16 $88 +$1 +1%
Monzon vs. Serna: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Korneeva vs. Tian: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Taborda vs. Michalkova: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 16 $27 $0 +1%
Fuente vs. Santos: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Wild vs. Nunez: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Set 2 Winner: Safiullin vs Holmgren Jun 16 $99 +$1 +1%
Valle vs. Weis: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 16 $54 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Zhang (-1.5) vs Faria (+1.5) Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Bailly vs. Poullain: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Korneeva vs. Tian: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Set 2 Winner: Riera vs Lollia Jun 16 $88 +$1 +1%
ITF Gyula: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Stefan Seifert Jun 16 $97 +$3 +3%
Vidmanova vs. Voloshchuk: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Tauson vs. Parry: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Vidmanova vs. Voloshchuk: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: McNally (-1.5) vs Ruzic (+1.5) Jun 16 $86 +$1 +1%
Danka Kovinic vs. Miriam Bulgaru: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Kovinic vs. Bulgaru: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Tauson vs Parry Jun 16 $99 +$1 +1%
Sonmez vs. Fernandez: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Set 2 Winner: Balus vs Toma Jun 16 $78 +$1 +1%
Mrva vs. Santillan: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Biryukov vs. Travaglia: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF Dinard: Anastasiya Kuparev vs Carla Grignac BUY Carla Grignac 99¢ $99 1m
Vekic vs. Eala: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 SELL Over 100¢ $30 4m
Vekic vs. Eala: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 SELL Over 100¢ $70 4m
Vekic vs. Eala: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $99 6m
Set 1 Winner: Grabher vs Sobolieva SELL Sobolieva 100¢ $100 23m
Set 1 Winner: Grabher vs Sobolieva BUY Sobolieva 99¢ $99 26m
Mertens vs. Bartunkova: Match O/U 23.5 SELL Under 100¢ $49 34m
Mertens vs. Bartunkova: Match O/U 23.5 BUY Under 99¢ $49 37m
Counter-Strike: Rooster vs DXA Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL Rooster 100¢ $40 42m
Set 2 Winner: Steiner vs Bennemann SELL Bennemann 100¢ $50 44m
Counter-Strike: Rooster vs DXA Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Rooster 95¢ $38 44m
Set 2 Winner: Steiner vs Bennemann BUY Bennemann 99¢ $50 46m
ITF Kayseri: Mariya Dobreva vs Daria Shubina BUY Daria Shubina 99¢ $99 47m
Set Handicap: Sagandikova (-1.5) vs Ivanovic (+1.5) SELL Sagandikova 100¢ $5 1h
Set Handicap: Sagandikova (-1.5) vs Ivanovic (+1.5) SELL Sagandikova 100¢ $95 1h
Set 2 Winner: Astakhova vs Giovannini SELL Giovannini 100¢ $50 1h
Set 2 Winner: Astakhova vs Giovannini BUY Giovannini 99¢ $50 1h
Set Handicap: Sagandikova (-1.5) vs Ivanovic (+1.5) BUY Sagandikova 99¢ $99 1h
ITF Men Constanta: Completed Match: Robert Guna vs Dragos Nicolae Caza SELL Yes 100¢ $100 1h
Set 2 Winner: Guna vs Cazacu SELL Guna 100¢ $100 1h
Mertens vs. Bartunkova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 SELL Under 100¢ $100 1h
Mertens vs. Bartunkova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Under 99¢ $99 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 100¢ $40 1h
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Alpha Gaming - Map 2 Winner SELL INFURITY Gaming 100¢ $40 1h
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Alpha Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY INFURITY Gaming 98¢ $39 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 99¢ $40 1h
Set 2 Winner: Guna vs Cazacu BUY Guna 99¢ $99 2h
ITF Men Constanta: Completed Match: Robert Guna vs Dragos Nicolae Caza BUY Yes 99¢ $99 2h
ITF Maanshan: Dong Ju Kim vs Moerani Bouzige BUY Moerani Bouzige 99¢ $9 5h
Set 2 Winner: Heck vs Jones SELL Heck 100¢ $69 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $216.15 · official $211.45 · 3500 history records