Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:57:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

31
0x3123…69a7
crypto · 230 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$253 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$253 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$253
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses153 / 77
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)230 / 230
History coverage60d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day6.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 230 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$113
7 days−$113
14 days−$131
30 days−$131
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Over 68¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 0 Arsenal FC? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $257 −$245 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $304 −$78 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $303 +$40 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $253 +$43 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $203 +$57 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $103 +$59 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $204 −$204 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $65 −$14 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $71 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $71 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $221 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $121 +$7 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $111 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$5 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $124 +$6 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $61 +$12 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $55 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$7 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $122 +$24 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $121 +$10 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$20 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$8 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $61 −$4 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$19 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $20 −$16 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$4 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$1 -10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$303
sports 2% +$32
other 1% +$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $12 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $257 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $11 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $201 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $103 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $100 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $202 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $202 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $203 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 179 +2.1% -7.6% 69% 51% -11.1%
≤30d 206 +1.0% -8.6% 67% 50% -11.2%
≤90d 230 -0.7% -10.2% 67% 50% -12.8%
all 230 -0.7% -10.2% 67% 50% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.2% 50% -12.8%
10% -18.8% 38% -21.2%
15% -26.6% 29% -28.8%
20% -33.8% 19% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 644 history records