trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 33% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -2.3% | -11.6% | 30% | 0% | -10.7% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -2.3% | -11.6% | 30% | 0% | -10.7% |
| all | 23 | -4.4% | -13.5% | 43% | 0% | -10.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.5% | 0% | -10.8% |
| 10% | -21.8% | 0% | -19.3% |
| 15% | -29.3% | 0% | -27.1% |
| 20% | -36.3% | 0% | -34.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 19 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $29 | $0 | -2% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 18 | $29 | +$1 | +2% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 04 | $96 | +$4 | +4% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 02 | $73 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 02 | $59 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 31 | $36 | −$10 | -28% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 29 | $34 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 29 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 28 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 13 | $2 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Jun 27 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland? | Jun 03 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | May 08 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Bitcoin above $82,000 on April 18? | Apr 19 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Draymond Green win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | Apr 18 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 18 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 18 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 16 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election? | Mar 31 | $5 | +$1 | +10% |
| Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series? | Mar 27 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80000 and $82000 on Mar 28? | Mar 26 | $12 | $0 | +1% |