trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Netherlands (-2.5) | Japan | 91¢ | 90¢ | $12 | $12 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 0.5 | Jun 14 | $14 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club end in a draw? | Jun 07 | $10 | +$1 | +8% |
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5) | Jun 07 | $17 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will Miguel Roca win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election? | May 21 | $156 | −$7 | -4% |
| Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5 | May 21 | $13 | +$1 | +10% |
| Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Ghazl El Mahalla SC: O/U 3.5 | May 21 | $20 | +$2 | +11% |
| Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in March 2026? | Mar 20 | $1,871 | −$43 | -2% |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Mar 20 | $81 | −$3 | -4% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after th | Mar 20 | $1,735 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | Mar 20 | $87 | −$3 | -4% |
| Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Mar 20 | $1,841 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 20 | $68 | −$2 | -3% |
| Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 202 | Mar 20 | $1,864 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | Mar 20 | $1,716 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026? | Mar 20 | $1,854 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary electi | Mar 20 | $1,753 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Mar 20 | $283 | $0 | +0% |
| Lakers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 123.5 | Mar 20 | $126 | +$116 | +92% |
| Sabres vs. Sharks: O/U 7.5 | Mar 20 | $163 | +$81 | +49% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +6.4% | -3.7% | 100% | 0% | -3.7% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +6.4% | -3.8% | 83% | 17% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 19 | +8.8% | -1.5% | 63% | 16% | -8.5% |
| all | 19 | +8.8% | -1.5% | 63% | 16% | -8.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -1.5% | 16% | -8.5% |
| 10% | -11.0% | 11% | -17.2% |
| 15% | -19.6% | 11% | -25.2% |
| 20% | -27.5% | 5% | -32.6% |