Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T10:42:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.5
score
31 0x3136…be1b crypto 1017 markets active 2h ago coverage 76d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 75d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$3,909 (+6%) realized +$3,909 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR54%break-even
Win rate54%550W / 466L
Whale WR50%big bets
Drawdown80%max
Avg bet$62per market
Trades / day28.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$525
7 days+$1,037
14 days+$1,026
30 days+$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$2,951
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-3.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 91 +34.2% +21.4% 68% 68% +11.1%
≤30d 398 +9.8% -0.7% 56% 56% -9.5%
≤90d 1016 +7.0% -3.2% 54% 54% -5.3%
all 1016 +7.0% -3.2% 54% 54% -5.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover28.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.2% 54% -5.3%
10% ← realistic here -12.5% 54% -14.3%
15% -20.9% 54% -22.6%
20% -28.7% 54% -30.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +7% · $-wt +5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 50% (≥$500) neutral
Persistence
early +9% → late +5% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
2.1 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$59 vs −$64 · ×0.93 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.1 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

76d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$3,909
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses550 / 466
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1016 / 1017
History coverage76d ⚠
Avg bet$62
Trades / day28.7
Drawdown80%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1016 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 24 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 24 $151 +$147 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 24 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 24 $90 −$90 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 23 $10 +$10 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 23 $64 +$59 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 23 $105 +$105 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 23 $83 +$78 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 23 $148 +$138 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 23 $274 +$274 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 23 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 23 $39 +$37 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 23 $43 −$43 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 23 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 23 $83 +$83 +100%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 23 $29 −$29 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 23 $103 −$103 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 23 $13 +$13 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 23 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 23 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 23 $47 −$47 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 22 $4 +$4 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 22 $3 +$2 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 22 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 22 $8 +$7 +98%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 22 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 22 $16 +$15 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 22 $23 −$23 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 22 $26 −$26 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 22 $26 −$26 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 22 $274 −$274 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 21 $13 +$12 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 21 $23 +$22 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 21 $4 +$4 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 21 $259 +$242 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 21 $24 −$24 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 21 $137 −$137 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 21 $194 −$194 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 21 $87 +$87 +99%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 21 $21 +$21 +98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 21 $52 +$49 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 20 $2 +$2 +100%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 20 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 20 $19 +$19 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 20 $99 +$96 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 20 $126 +$127 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 20 $5 +$5 +100%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 20 $254 −$254 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $94 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $48 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $90 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $23 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $100 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $64 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $93 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $68 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $100 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $83 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $148 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $25 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $13 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $39 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $7 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $6 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $14 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $30 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records