Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:28:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

31
0x3139…9e2e
crypto · 131 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$117,489 +1059%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18,471 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8,810
Realized−$18,471
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)13%
Wins / losses79 / 508
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)587 / 131
History coverage1d
Avg bet$85
Trades / day3394.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 587 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18,471
7 days−$18,471
14 days−$18,471
30 days−$18,471
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 41¢ 100¢ $927 $2,249 +$1,323 (+143%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 76¢ 100¢ $1,582 $2,081 +$499 (+32%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 44¢ 100¢ $699 $1,577 +$878 (+126%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 66¢ 100¢ $679 $1,034 +$355 (+52%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 51¢ 100¢ $476 $933 +$458 (+96%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 45¢ 100¢ $273 $611 +$338 (+124%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 71¢ 100¢ $113 $160 +$47 (+41%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 57¢ 100¢ $44 $78 +$34 (+76%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 62¢ 100¢ $43 $69 +$26 (+62%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 73¢ 100¢ $10 $14 +$4 (+38%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 76¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+32%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 40¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+150%)
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 97¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+3%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 36¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+178%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 68¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+47%)
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $2,333 −$2,333 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $540 −$540 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $457 −$457 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $321 −$321 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $519 −$519 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $189 −$189 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $102 −$102 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $118 −$118 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $41 −$41 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $44 −$44 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $254 −$254 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $55 −$55 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $88 −$88 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $63 −$63 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$27 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $143 −$143 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $51 −$51 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $130 −$130 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $87 −$87 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $45 −$45 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $142 −$142 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,531
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-78.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 587 -76.2% -78.5% 13% 11% -63.2%
≤30d 587 -76.2% -78.5% 13% 11% -63.2%
≤90d 587 -76.2% -78.5% 13% 11% -63.2%
all 587 -76.2% -78.5% 13% 11% -63.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3394.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -78.5% 11% -63.2%
10% ← realistic here -80.5% 10% -66.7%
15% -82.4% 7% -69.9%
20% -84.1% 5% -72.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8,809.75 · official $8,806.72 (match) · 3500 history records