Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:04:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

31
0x3139…096e
crypto · 127 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$527 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$525 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$189
Realized−$525
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses82 / 185
Open positions3
Markets (closed)267 / 127
History coverage1d
Avg bet$75
Trades / day3377.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 267 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$525
7 days−$525
14 days−$525
30 days−$525
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 48¢ 100¢ $28 $57 +$29 (+107%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 78¢ 68¢ $30 $26 −$4 (-13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 31¢ 32¢ $12 $12 +$1 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 61¢ 100¢ $6 $9 +$3 (+63%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Down 64¢ 64¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 71¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+42%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 66¢ 56¢ $8 $7 −$1 (-14%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 47¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+113%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 34¢ 36¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+7%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 37¢ 44¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 97¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+91%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Up 76¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+32%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 62¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+61%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 78¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 66¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+52%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 56¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+78%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 67¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+50%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 76¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+32%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+97%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 45¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+124%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 83¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+20%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 81¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+23%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 74¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+36%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$20 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$7 -79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$4 -156%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$11 -413%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$7 -992%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$3 +749%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -246%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -125%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$24 -106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -385%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$7 -152%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -150%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +289%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$13 -113%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$4 -160%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$11 -250%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$3 -195%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -722%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$10 -734%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$12 -123%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$4 -3701%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +437%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$8 -3520%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$10 -17334%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$3 -1702%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$3 -5606%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$3 -1409%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$5 -2183%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$3 -2329%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$8 -221%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$10 -2468%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -4451%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$3 -198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -2350%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$10 -5613%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$5 -4234%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -1587%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $14 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $8 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $19 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $11 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $3 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $0 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 16¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $24 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET SELL Down 69¢ $5 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $0 2m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-4.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 267 +6.1% -4.0% 31% 15% -11.6%
≤30d 267 +6.1% -4.0% 31% 15% -11.6%
≤90d 267 +6.1% -4.0% 31% 15% -11.6%
all 267 +6.1% -4.0% 31% 15% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3377.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.0% 15% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -13.2% 11% -20.1%
15% -21.6% 9% -27.8%
20% -29.3% 7% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $189.14 · official $143.68 · 3500 history records