trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 100% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 67% | 0% | -7.1% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -3.6% | -12.8% | 53% | 0% | -7.7% |
| all | 20 | -3.4% | -12.6% | 50% | 0% | -7.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.6% | 0% | -7.7% |
| 10% | -21.0% | 0% | -16.5% |
| 15% | -28.6% | 0% | -24.6% |
| 20% | -35.6% | 0% | -32.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by August 31? | No | 96¢ | 98¢ | $374 | $382 | +$8 (+2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? | Jun 20 | $309 | $0 | +0% |
| Antonio Rüdiger: 1+ assists | Jun 14 | $495 | +$15 | +3% |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? | Jun 14 | $489 | +$5 | +1% |
| Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 0.5 | Jun 03 | $480 | +$40 | +8% |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 02 | $478 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | May 28 | $8 | $0 | -2% |
| Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-2.5) | May 04 | $447 | +$22 | +5% |
| Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? | May 03 | $447 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Kayserispor (-2.5) | Apr 20 | $36 | −$36 | -100% |
| EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30? | Apr 20 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Konyaspor (-2.5) | Apr 20 | $380 | +$24 | +6% |
| Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 202 | Apr 17 | $379 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Brisbane Roar FC (-2.5) | Apr 03 | $230 | +$8 | +4% |
| Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | Apr 02 | $10 | −$1 | -8% |
| Spread: AA Ponte Preta (-1.5) | Apr 02 | $214 | +$21 | +10% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Apr 01 | $194 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Ghana (-1.5) | Apr 01 | $207 | +$3 | +1% |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? | Mar 30 | $207 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Peru (-1.5) | Mar 30 | $202 | +$6 | +3% |
| Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Mar 28 | $29 | $0 | +0% |